Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Equilove (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | When Judy Calls | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Niki | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Aflutter | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tootie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Basket Case | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apriati | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Valentine | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cozzolani | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms. Hillary | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shespun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Next Revolt | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shacks Way | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nautical Moon | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caseys Memory | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chapel Barn | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colosi | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadowless | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Rama | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Peloton | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smarty Ball | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Reserve | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Searchin Safari | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lincolns Brisket | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Send Off | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wristband | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | War Hawk | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Suppose You Dream | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | E d’Oro | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magna Punch | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Alive | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bold Appeal | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizz Factor | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clay’s Ruby Love | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On the Money Luv | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Willa | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywoodboulevard | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boss On the Run | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Zap This | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Gold Lady | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Bileve | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Littleeurogirl | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warhammer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship the Money | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cherokee Sunrise | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Last Moxy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Cade | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunny Highway | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chi Town Road | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Lake | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Up | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R D C Posse | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dutch Bus | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perliano | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Appleseed | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wrinkle Road | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaggy Edge | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Won Ninety | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clinton Quarintino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Popperina | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canada Candy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Change It Up | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holly Dolly | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Bisonette | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Bayou | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Markswoman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | San Mateo Kat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gastown | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sskysthelimit | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halaga | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Belle | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Music | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fayette Blue | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hourglass Figure | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cashmere Dancer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Kitty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waylon’s Guitar | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thousand Chances | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boozeintheblender | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | John | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Omaha | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gospel Comply | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr J Y. G | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chahta Citizen | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Hot Rod | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Governor’s Cup S.) – Governor’s Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unload | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mine That Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paluxy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Without a Trace | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Number One Dude | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forced Ranking | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.