Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Titan 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Last Run 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mister Cooper 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Decisive Pride 20.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Builder Jak 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Joe From Kiev 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Iconic Rock 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fourty Four 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gentleman Caller 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 West Bank 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Red Haired Gal 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Shiloh 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Queen Tatiana 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Black and Silver 20.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lilys Back 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Doctor Daisy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Billy the Greek 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Iron Man Jimmy 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Southern Dream 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 The Honeyman 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 T B Twelve Always 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Jades Jay 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Gemstone Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Balala 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sweet Sash 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Bad Gal Party 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Game Changer Jolie 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Blushing Tiger 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Wink of an Eye 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Instagrand Girl 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Kintap 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bird Wildcat 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Doc Amster 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Feast 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Uranium 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Rebelde 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Holiday Fantasy 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Cross Haste 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Belts ‘n Brooks 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Rare Jewel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
In the Blue 0 0-1
4 4 Thingsrgettinharry 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Breath Deeply 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Fifty One Fifty 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Performante 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 Blazing Tyreek 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Prized Katz 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 In the Blue 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Rags Special 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Call Me Spicy 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Poiema 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Oh Darlin 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 My Lady James 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Admissible 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Music City Star 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ornela (CHI) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rachels Song 0 0-1
7 7 Alcohol 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hockey 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Beira 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Contessa’s Song 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Free to Roam 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Neom City 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Rachels Song 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lady Monique 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Raka Raka Cruz 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Calypso Charlie 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fast N Steady 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Midnight Chaos 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Putman 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mr. American 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Forty Flash 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nature Boy 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.