Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Sheppard H.) – Jonathan Sheppard H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Going Country (IRE) 0 0-1
3 3 Abaan 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jimmy P 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Too Friendly (GB) 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Pickanumber (IRE) 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Going Country (IRE) 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Zarak the Brave (FR) 1.80 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kiyomori 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Artistic Choice (IRE) 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cinderella’s Cause 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Midtown Lights 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Saratoga Kisses 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Echo in Eternity 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Krystalheir 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Amity Island 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Midnight Mile (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
7 6 Immensitude (FR) 3.50 2 4-1
8 7 Not So Close 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Thirty Thou Kelvin 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Blissful 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Watch This Birdie 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Strikingly Spun 12.00 4.7 9-1
1A 10 Movie Moxy 0.80 SCRATCH
1 9 Amanda’s Folly 0.80 SCRATCH
2 1 Edict (ARG) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Islander 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Refuse to Lose 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Helcia 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lord I Wonder 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Cost Containment 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tipple 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sweet Distraction 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Suzie O’cain S.) – Suzie O’cain S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Red Burgundy 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Summer Whirl 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Awesome Czech 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Boxed Wine 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Brocknardini 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Munny Grab 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bossy Jeans 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Downtown Channel 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Alette d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Landed 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Divorced of Course 0 0-1
1 1 Cara’s Dreamweaver 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Disco Star 5.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Princess Fiona 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Mischief Lady 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Timia 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gattatiz 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Alpine Giant 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Annascaul 3.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Young At Heart 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Divorced of Course 20.00 6.1 12-1
15 15 Princess Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dancing Dakotah 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Stone Smuggler 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Teller to Win 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mangetsu 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Frankie Hiccups 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Condiment Girl 10.00 1 2-1
3 2 Fontanafredda 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Willful Desire 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Perpetual Praise 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Everlys Girl 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Violent Vixen 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 R Funny Bizness 6.00 5.6 11-1
1A 11 Mon Petit Chou 4.00 6.5 12-1
1 5 Awesome Annmarie 4.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Backed by Gold 8.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Ghostly Girl 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Preliminary (GB) 0 0-1
1 1 Miss San Gabriel 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Beets 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Revalita (FR) 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Collaboration 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Curlin’s Girl 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bon Adieu 30.00 5 9-1
8 8 Centuria (IRE) 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Destiny Star 10.00 5.6 10-1
11 11 Preliminary (GB) 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 Ziaerati 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Take Shape 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Crushed Ice 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Whocouldaskformo 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Standoutsensation 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Yes Indeed 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Java Buzz 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Final Verdict 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 6 Borletti (IRE) 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Gaslight Dancer 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 5 Typhoon Fury 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Hilarious Affair 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Feathers Road 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 King Moonracer 10.00 5.6 11-1
1A 11 He’s Got It 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Collect From Ike 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Dr Oseran 10.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Magnificent Mile 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.