Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trizzel Trazzel 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Systematic 1.40 1.2 2-1
7 7 Umneyaat 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Lizzies Girl 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Alberta Be Mine 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Buttered Toast 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Text Me Up 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bankingonamiracle 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Summer Buck 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Big Lew 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Southern Style 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Midnight Mo 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Knowing 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Backonthechaingang 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Captive Silence 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 War Empire 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rapid Grey 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chancel 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hell Bent 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cantucci 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Just Start Me Up 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bet N Win 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Endless Sunset 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 This Dude a Breeze 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 McAvoy 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Collective Force 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Spinzar 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Runaway Charlie 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Roscar 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Exude 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Awesome Entry 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 H C Holiday 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Grande Soiree 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jack the Cat 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Great Faces 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Sailor’s Passion 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Spring Mountain 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Stylish Gent 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lion Kingdom 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Robitaille 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ready for a Fight 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Top of the Charts 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Priceless Will 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Pine Knoll 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Speedy Hans 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Breaking Alone 3.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Courageous Copper 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Galvaston 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jimmies Big Day 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Warp Ride 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pocket Pair 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bonita Mundo 4.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Miss Saugerties 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Talbot Heirloom 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mean to Me 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Motown Funk 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Serenading Kitten 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Songs of War 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dancin in Da’nile 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Tito’s Calling 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Lac Macaza 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Conglomerate 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Stone Age (IRE) 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 British Royalty 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Garofoli 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Frac Right 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Daddy Send Money 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Sooner Lunar 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Souper Rush 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Silent Tribute 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Reason to Dream 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Yoddha 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Midnight Tempesta 12.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Its Just Money 3.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Aurelian Flame 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ontario Holiday 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Mister Holden 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Clive Cross 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Glorious Revenge 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Seattle Sunrise 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 True Shot 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Lemon Twist 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 One Last Kiss 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.