Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Boy Jak 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Respunzel 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Venezuelan Hope 4.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Mega Don 5.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 My Sergeant 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Venezuela Is Gold 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Adios Buster 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Makoa 20.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Kantharos Jr 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Spettro 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Captain Anthony 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Silent and Violent 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bandero 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Shake Your Bones 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Belly of Jelly 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Flatter Me 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Euphoria Star 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Forged Steel 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Como 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Moneylove 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Hegs 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Zio Mo 4.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Deputy Tramon 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Super Sailor 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Mustang Bay 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Asher’s Edge 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tricky Tiger 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Fulanito 1.80 2.4 4-1
5 5 Cheyenne Brave 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Kaliman 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Junction Road 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tiz Ruddy Ben 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Mystic Lute 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ipanema Princess (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Judge Judith 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Musical Romance (GB) 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Both Sides 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Kizzy 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Dubstep 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Khosea 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Lucky Girl Coco 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Defended 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Super Spin 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 It’s Only Words 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Red Hot Spark 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Ave Fenix 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Gratia 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 India Pilaga (ARG) 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Tovia 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lightning Dust 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Unrelentless 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Foxy Lady 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Patty’s Having Fun 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 She’s Outta Here 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Just Take Notes 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Drill’s Valentine 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Trotting Gear 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Wicca Wisdom 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Awesome Bourbon 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Fly the W 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Swashbuckle 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Harpoon Harry 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mr Crowley 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Thought 10.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Vladislav 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sociallongdistance 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Centrodelantero 12.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Laloba Feroz 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Grand David 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Guaicaipuro 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Megan Makin Money 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Stiletto Heels 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Cajun Fantasy 3.00 5 10-1
6 6 Ale’s Gift 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Evanora 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Kikilove 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Clay Soldier 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arisaema 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Denver’s Alley 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Far Above 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Possession 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ethel 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Fiorenza 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Gouldian 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Bianka Heart 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Ghosts Lil Secret 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Nobly 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.