Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Big Boy Jak |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Respunzel |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Venezuelan Hope |
4.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mega Don |
5.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Sergeant |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Venezuela Is Gold |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adios Buster |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Makoa |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kantharos Jr |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Spettro |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Captain Anthony |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silent and Violent |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bandero |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shake Your Bones |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Belly of Jelly |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flatter Me |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Euphoria Star |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Forged Steel |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Como |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moneylove |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hegs |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zio Mo |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deputy Tramon |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Super Sailor |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mustang Bay |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Asher’s Edge |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tricky Tiger |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fulanito |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cheyenne Brave |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kaliman |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Junction Road |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz Ruddy Ben |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystic Lute |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Ipanema Princess (IRE) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Judge Judith |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Musical Romance (GB) |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Both Sides |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kizzy |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dubstep |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Khosea |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Girl Coco |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Defended |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Super Spin |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
It’s Only Words |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red Hot Spark |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ave Fenix |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gratia |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
India Pilaga (ARG) |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tovia |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lightning Dust |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Unrelentless |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Foxy Lady |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Patty’s Having Fun |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s Outta Here |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just Take Notes |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drill’s Valentine |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trotting Gear |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicca Wisdom |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Bourbon |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fly the W |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swashbuckle |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harpoon Harry |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Crowley |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Thought |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vladislav |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sociallongdistance |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Centrodelantero |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Laloba Feroz |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand David |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Guaicaipuro |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Megan Makin Money |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stiletto Heels |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cajun Fantasy |
3.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ale’s Gift |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Evanora |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kikilove |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clay Soldier |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Arisaema |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Denver’s Alley |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Far Above |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Possession |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ethel |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fiorenza |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gouldian |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bianka Heart |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ghosts Lil Secret |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nobly |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.