Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tahini 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Runaway Kitten 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Thank You Kera 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Cyprus Moon 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Judicious 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tiznow Mama 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Barbtourage 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No More Ding Dongs 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Smokem If U Gottem 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kiss for Lulu 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Caught in the Dark 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Omnificent 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Danzing Wild Cat 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Brunchandcrunch 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Best Pal S.) – Best Pal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
White Sands 0 0-1
3 3 White Sands 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Getaway Car 0.60 1.4 3-1
2 2 Tiz Happy 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Mischief River 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ivan the Great 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Getthemoney 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kitty Kitana (GB) 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Real Fire 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Paris Secret (IRE) 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Yerwanthere (IRE) 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Royal Charter (GB) 2.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Speed Lane 10.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Omaha Girl 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Tea N Conversation 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pavel’s Etoile 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lil’ Boom Boom 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gobernadora Ely 30.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Prizeconquest 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Amelia’s Echo 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Hot Girl Walk 2.50 6 11-1
1 1 Om N Joy 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Rizzleberry Rose 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Renatus 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Stanford Hottie 15.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Apple Valley Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 America’s Mark 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Duran 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 In Suspense 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 One Time Mark 1.40 1.6 3-1
9 9 Storm Off 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sir Maximus 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bound to Succeed 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Empire’s Classic 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mongolian Max 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Quintecents 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arrakis 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gaming 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Soi Ngern 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Brother Tony 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Authentic Spirit 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Poor Connection 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Rank 6.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Binging 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Farley Hall 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Invincible Molly (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lamporghini 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Antifona (FR) 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Esprit Enchante 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 She Is Romantic 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Antique Silver 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Falabella 30.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Alluring 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 I’m a Lucky Man 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Crypto Craze 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Bag’s Gold 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mobe Town 3.50 2.3 4-1
11 11 L’Enfant Dit 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Billy’s Bet 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Man Overboard 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Letshaveonemore 30.00 5 9-1
6 6 Kell’s Bells 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Erebus 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Clampett 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Debs Tiz 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Middleburg 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Glandford (GB) 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Goodfella (IRE) 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dealers Special 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Divisible By 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 American Only 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Rostovsky 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Track and Field 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Crazy Cavalier 10.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Anglican 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.