Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Time Stone | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silvology | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appellate | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Day Away | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weighted Average | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goodnight My Angel | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shade of Pale | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Hebrides | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Cruiser | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Evan Shipman H.) – Evan Shipman H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drake’s Passage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Surges | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Bianco | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maker’s Candy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Frenzy | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whittington Park | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nimitz Class | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Dreams | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Seeker | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tabeguache | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Catch | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donegal Forever | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cooke Creek | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 13 | Unlimitedpotential | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Yo Daddy | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Paddington | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | King of Comedy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heathguard | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Strapped | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Image of Quality | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Lord Flintshire | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Addicted to You | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Write Off Jerry | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 3 | American Grant | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Front Man | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Over and Ollie | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Point Clear | 99.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Pentathlon | 0.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon’s Fault | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Daily Grind | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Prairie Dunes | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Ignite the Light | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cuando | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Fattoush | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Upstanding | 0.60 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Duration | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rock Star Rebel | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Gamebred | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 12 | Resilient Hero | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oath of Omerta | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Dominican Pirate | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Vibrant Express | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Man of Mischief | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salt Spartan | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 1 | A Million Stories | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Ozzy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manhattan Twist | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keepinitreal | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Spirit’s Mischief | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Acoustic Ave | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 12 | Printrack | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Yarrow | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Urban Legend | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Roi Soleil | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Works for Me | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 13 | Daufuskie Island | 2.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Cool Operator | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Kunshan Bridge | 2.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Cigarette Boat | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Three Zero | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Union Avenue H.) – Union Avenue H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Time | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leeloo | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Security Code | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captainsdaughter | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Kristi | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Early Edition | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breath Away (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promiseher America | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Moscato | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allamericanbeauty | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lifelovenlaughter | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Kiss Me Hardy | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Damaso | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quarrel | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tax Implications (GB) | 1.40 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Into Happiness | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swoop to Finish | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Malleymoo | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Street Jam | 3.50 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caroline Street | 10.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elounda Queen (IRE) | 5.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Filigree | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Your Man Alex | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Freedsdale | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Tweed | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forward Move | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Prankster | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heymackit’sjack | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Li’l Lang | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Sky | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | On the Hill | 2.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Bourbon’s Hope | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kreesa | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nano Man | 8.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ripe for Mischief | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Rod | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.