Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pietrelcina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Foolin Mo | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ike’s Gamble | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valore | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dominguez | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zihuatanejo | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Longworth | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | States United | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Burn Rubber | 1.80 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Basic Miles | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Owhatanite | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ascribe | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Dont Need Roads | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pudge Boy Palace | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Law of the Jungle | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatahardmanfidead | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code Enforcer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Langlee Avenue | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ariel Moon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glamorous | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Intel Agent | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dropping Lemons | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Ciella | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lachicafortequila | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Wanda | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amelia’s Joy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s the Great | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Omaha Omaha | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regalpains | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Thunder | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mendelslew | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Fair Shake | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hittheroadjak | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Margie’s Fun Son | 1.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Knight Nile | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapper Zapper | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just for Luck | 1.20 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agarramesipuedes | 2.50 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Take Charge | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Class Wizard | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Silverbullettwenty | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Super E | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Portland | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | David’s Prospec | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Flash Is Back | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rapidity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mat Matters | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Cowboy | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasiel | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Linkous | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Hollow | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ifeelbadforyouson | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speightster’s Star | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Try Harder | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upsidedown Man | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | P Money | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Big Enchilada | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Better Luck | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rye Diggitydog | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nancy Made My Day | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Skippy | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J R Jone Z | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Kisser | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Corrected Pedigree | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quint’s Brew | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Irish | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banditsgoldenchild | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King’s River | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paco the Taco Man | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Must Be Love | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Is Good | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Child | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Independent | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Ensign | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rye Smile | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flower Mound | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midsummers Eve | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kokopelli Girl | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Euphima (ARG) | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divina Dulce | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Dance | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carolina Sun | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Lucia | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.