Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Blakely’s Wish |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Endless Vow |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trail of Gold |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Practically Summer |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bubbe Dearest |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Wisdom |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Route Sensation |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Passive Management (GB) |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stop the Press |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trulli Warrior |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Badge of War |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legitimize |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prospero (IRE) |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Elko County |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Protective |
0.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Ak Sar Ben Derby |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (John Morrissey H.) – John Morrissey H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rotknee |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Looms Boldly |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sheriff Bianco |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Factually Correct |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Light Man |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ocean’s Reserve |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Eighty West |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Strengthnguidance |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Friday Surprise |
1.40 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tapwrits Temper |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Storm the Streets |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Play the Gray |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ky Anansi |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Probale Ten |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Aspen Grove (IRE) |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Avenue Niel (IRE) |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Emily Kathryn |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sabalenka |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Be Your Best (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elle Est Forte |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dreaming of Mo |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Luna Moth |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Flirting With Time |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pop Idol |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
And One More Time |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rematch |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soul Secret |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonlight Promises |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mean Eileen |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Radio Goo Goo |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’mwishingonastar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon Serengeti |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Street View |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cararra |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classy Mischief |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m Thinking |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Taco Lady |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Celestial Express |
50.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ascension |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Autumn’s Turn |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Lark’s Mischief |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
6 |
Nelson Avenue |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
10 |
Radical Right |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lost in Rome |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Good Juju |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Dangerous Ride |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pipes and Drums |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
1A |
9 |
Kunshan Bridge |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Didinger |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Rithm Nic |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Weekend Rags |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mz Big Bucks |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fancypants Juliana |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Marco T. |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Patria |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Latest Edition |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queens Dancer |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bank On Anna |
4.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strictly Taboo |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Dutchess |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kannon Fire |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ninja Abarrio |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Goats On a Tree |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Turf Rocket |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dream Central |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
More Mango |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Busy Morning |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Diamond Status |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Roman Goddess |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Oh My Mia |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Palmetto Fury |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Sizzle |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.