Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sanger 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 American Cat 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Hardmoneymuchachos 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 McLaren Vale 0.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 Seattle Breakout 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Arrogates Spirit 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Rogue Son 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ima Joker 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Den of Iniquity (GB) 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Miss Will 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Queen Berkeley 5.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Matters 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 In Your Life 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 God’s Favor 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jubilant Joanie 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Sweet Hello 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Violet Storm 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dramatizer 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Big Hopes 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Warrior Lady 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Councilwoman Jilly 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Dorine’s Wild Cat 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Dance Kid 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sabres 4.00 1 2-1
6 5 Ace Ace Baby 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kythira 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Princess Is Olivia 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Unified A. P. 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Little Lady Lou 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Ifuaintfirsturlast 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Envisioned 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 98 Recalcitrant 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Nell’s Legacy 1.40 1 2-1
6 5 Grazen Gator 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Orange Thunder 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 8 Lunar Ride 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Anthony’s Spice 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 On Time Tam 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Mrazek’s Old Dream 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Just a Little Cynn 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Abbey Theatre 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Apple Valley Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
4 98 Tapatia Leah 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silver N Black 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 It’s My World 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Cody Boy 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Bart Sip Some 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Be Punctual 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Toppers Wager 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Razen the Stakes 20.00 3.2 6-1
8 98 Vodka Vodka 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Cap 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Whimsical Heir 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Baby Kristen 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Iconic Sky 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sharp Ride 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Sweet Vengeance 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Wishtheyallcouldbe 4.50 6.8 13-1
8 8 T N T Nova 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Fly a Fantasy 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Capital Outlay 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Red On Sunday 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Trotsky 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Danzing Forest 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Remi Or Not 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mining District 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Son o’ Sanpete 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 The Scent 3.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Zip Om 10.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 I’llhaveanotherwon 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Drive for Show 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.