Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cornwall 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Quiet Intent 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Winston Blue 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Shamateur 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Guns n’ Rojas 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ravello Beauty 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Ashbury 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Reload’s Rebel 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Valyrian Sky 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Yacht Boy 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Society’s Thunder 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Stayhonor Goodside 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 Adelaide Court 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Lake Superior S.) – Lake Superior S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Summer Commander 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Live Lucky 0.80 1.3 2-1
7 7 Ready to Collect 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Junior Hot Shot 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Criminal Intent 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Jo Daddy 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Zippy Gizmo 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky Romance 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fanore (IRE) 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Silver Smoke 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bearing Down 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sugar It’s Eli 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Our Flag Flying 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Smart Almasty 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Fabelman 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Thunder Bay S.) – Thunder Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Olivia Rose 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Little Teddy 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Just Follow Me 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Miramichi 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Tabloid Material 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Red Eleanor 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Vandoo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kokomo 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spiritual Man 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 He’s Not Joking 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Lover Boy Mo 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ylivoimainen 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Awe Inspired 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Colchester 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Just Jacobo 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Naughty Frosty 20.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Crucial Taunt 10.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Notorious Gangster 12.00 10.6 20-1
12 12 Charted Map 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Onenightstandards 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ninetyfour Expos 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Taranto Titan 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Have It My Way 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Palio 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Mehlek 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Paintthetownsilver 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Eskiminzin 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mr. Who 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sunrise Drive 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 J P Hellish 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Twin City 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 South Bend 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Aha Moment 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Wentru 3.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Grandson 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Maakwa 8.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Ron’s Gizmo 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Strategy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Gilt Edge 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Western Whirl 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Tour the City 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Causin’ Mayhem 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 King Elvis 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 British Artillery 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Chamber Music 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Myra’s Boy 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Proud Ronin 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cabernaydo 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Diomedes 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Quiet Knight 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Rebel Faith 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bee Me 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Hello Ladies 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Dubawi Bull 20.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Good Point 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Redneck Rebel 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.