Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Limes Don’t Lie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Class Lady |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quietside |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Pippa |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Amourette |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ivory and Ebony |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiptop |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ragtime |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Birdstone S.) – Birdstone S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Next |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Next |
0.11 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Masqueparade |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slip Mahoney |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Time for Trouble |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nimitz Class |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Colloquy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Take the Charge |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gun Maestro |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kahala |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bossmakinbossmoves |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Life and Light |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pit Boss |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Higher Quality |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kick a Buck |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sugar Hook |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
John the Baptist |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bolt d’Plata |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Il Siciliano |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flicker (GB) |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bad Boy Butch |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mighty Glory |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vincita |
10.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ghost Prince |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Counter Attack |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
16 |
16 |
Bearings |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
True Connection |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
El Alacran |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mano E Mano |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Awesome Life |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
8 |
Tiffany Gold |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
In Our Time |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Boss of All |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Shaman Princess |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Hurricane Debbie |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Linarite |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
U Should B Dancing |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Answer the Call |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Miss Bonnie T |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
4 |
Golden Dagger |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
11 |
First Class Cat |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Oh My Mia |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
13 |
She’s Always Rosie |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Boston’s Phinest |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twirling Lulu |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scythian |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aranciata |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yougottahavehope |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Mischief |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Early On |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saratoga Snow |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classicals Finale |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
May Day Ready |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love Tempo (IRE) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pediatric Princess |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magenta |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
All Night Revival |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ballerina d’Oro |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chantico |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quoin |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
She’s a Swede |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
May Day Ready |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady River Lily |
50.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Chelsey’s Choice |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Dr Glick |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Bossy Dish |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Il Suo Oro |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Implementation |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Billal |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Implementation |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Top Gunner |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cape Trafalgar |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clear the Air |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chattalot |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Market Street |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Celestial Glaze |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Adirondack S.) – Adirondack S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
The Queens M G |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dare to Breeze |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Queens M G |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atomic City |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whatintheliteral |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Italian Soiree |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Anakarina |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aguas de Cristal |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
White Sands |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Social Fortress |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Beary Funny |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
St. Joe Louis (GB) |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nostalgic One |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Officer Derick |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Now and Later |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Modica |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Skellig Island |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
King Freud |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Lister |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
Noble Huntsman |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
14 |
14 |
Andy Cant |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Mendelssohn |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Incantation |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
On the Ledge |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Barnstorming |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Frizzante |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.