Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frothy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Erin | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inablink | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sarah’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Tarisansol | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Diamond | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Harmony Abarrio | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Channel’s Daughter | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Stash | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Daisy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She Fled the Scene | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Coast | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streaking Grey | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Princess | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Paradox | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Rocker | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Right Thing | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Next Right Thing | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laila Bella Girl | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tinki Abarrio | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayernee | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Here’s the Kicker | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl in Blue | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | His Choice | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Suspect | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khozy Turtle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Noble Dreamer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shez Speightful | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burn the Breeze | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | How Bout Dat | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Rose | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marthamaywhovier | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strategy Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Speed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Doorman | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beganingreenpoint | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barry the Builder | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Strike | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eden Paradise | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast N Steady | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot N Lucky | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Attitude | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Skull | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morgan Point | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ensign Parker | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Lane | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haberdashery | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Lover | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Rojo Vivo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Life Is Precious | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valued Cajun | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mohawk River | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jamaica Redd | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seeking to Collect | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruising | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mitby | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday Song | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velociraptor | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Front Traffic | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Beat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Test Factor | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Abarrio | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Private Thoughts | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catch a Tiger | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Globes | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reminder | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roar Ready | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Mar | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loco Abarrio | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | X Y Point | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Of a Revolution | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gatsby | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Tapit | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big and Classy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chrome Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zozan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ambor Night | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Chato | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steeler Mischief | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ekati King | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into You | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giuro | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Star | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southern Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | The Honeyman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.