Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Luther Pass 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Zafiro Anejo 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Uplift 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Jonas’ Dream 1.80 3 6-1
7 7 Speed of the Nile 30.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Ignatowski 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Westeros 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Ringtone 30.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 War On the West 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Too Wild to Tame 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Antibes 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Rockette 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bolt d’Vine 1.40 2.3 4-1
4 4 Desert Rhapsody 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Professors’ Pride 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tecumseh Caroline 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Wine On Tap 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Perkins 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Willow Cove 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Lady Monclaire 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Jane Kendeigh 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Grainne O’Malley 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Fly At Knight 3.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Conquest Celsius 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 Practical Dazzle 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 She’s Just Grand 12.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 On the Equinox 6.00 9 17-1
14 14 Danzingwith Maxine 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Smiling Forever 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Annabelle’s Smile 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lovely Idaho 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Altruist 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 C’Mon Man 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sunrise Journey 3.50 2.8 5-1
11 10 Cajun Brother 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Royal Halo 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rivoli 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Worth Looking 8.00 3.8 7-1
13 12 Call My Banker 15.00 4.9 9-1
12 11 Handsome Gary 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 El Diablo Rojo 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Perfect D 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Vicente’s Shadow 20.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Paul Vincents Poem 0.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Marks Hip 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (La Jolla H.) – La Jolla H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King of Gosford (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Final Boss 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Stay Hot 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Atitlan 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Prince of Power 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Cathal (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seattle Surf 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Golden River 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Artist Point 3.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Formidable Threat 20.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Jarama 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Last Call Paul 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Keep It Coming 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Investalot 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Nawiliwili 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Ricks Red Storm 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 American Renegade 8.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Remi Or Not 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mendelssohnszapper 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cody Boy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Double Jab 5.00 1 2-1
12 11 Impeachalot 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Lemon Sushi 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Supernal 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Disobey 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Irish Royalty 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Immelmann 30.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bob’s Blue Moon 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 California Tiger 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 One Strong Cat 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 98 Billy’s Bet 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Special Club 20.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Beer Money 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Report 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Scary Fast Ride 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Aye Candy 30.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Dads Estrella 30.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hope Road 1.20 5.6 10-1
7 7 Class Clown 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Sequin Lady 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Ur in Trouble 12.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Kristi’s Tiger 15.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Don’t Bring Crazy 10.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Nokie 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moon Ice 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Where’s the Loot 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Yo Time 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Rachel’s Coach 30.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Logon to Win 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Irish Corn 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mr. Big Heart 20.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Belly Up 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Thirsty Thursday 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Unzip Me Lord 10.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Westport Captain 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Piper’s Causeway 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Refocus 10.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Creative Om 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.) – California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Thirsty Mama 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Broadway Venus 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Coralgableskaylin 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Thirsty in Vegas 2.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 In the Air Tonight 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lil’ Bit Bossy 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Nostri Vires 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Knightwithlouis 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Margot’s Boy 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mackinnon 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Table for Ten 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Spirit Maker 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Lil Richards Bello 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Don’t Swear Dave 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mitico 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Grape Nuts Warrior 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Man Friday 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vanzzy 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Moody Jim (IRE) 8.00 7 13-1
12 12 Eyes On Target 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lord Sheldon 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.