Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thirsty Destiny 15.00 1 2-1
9 8 Rapida 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Jack’s Magic Girl 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Global Consort 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Sea Runner 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Caitlin Fever 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Lady Lollipop 6.00 5 9-1
10 9 Apocalyptic 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hey Lil Lady 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 98 Kitty Marren 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Asian Matriarch 0 0-1
5 5 J B Strikes Back 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Demotivate 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Chasing Rain 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Midnight Love 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Haywood 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Asian Matriarch 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Known Idea 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dont Fight the Fed 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Handsome Red 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Talklessworkmore 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hacking It Up 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cardiff Crack 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Bee Eye Gee 15.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Big George 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Rhino 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Left Hand Man 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Red Flag 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Chasin Munny 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Good With People 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Curry 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Terry’s Boy 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Santos to Wilson 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harry’s Onthefly 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lovesick Blues 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Standing O 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Cane Creek Road 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Johnny Podres 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Zoffarelli (IRE) 4.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Top Harbor 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Agency 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Mubtadaa 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Coulthard (IRE) 30.00 5.6 10-1
11 11 Kingdom Heart 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Roll On Big Joe 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Seismic Beauty 0 0-1
1 1 Dashingly 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Pearls Please 20.00 2 4-1
5 5 Sweet Gem 30.00 3 6-1
8 8 One Magic Philly 2.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Magic Tip 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Seismic Beauty 1.80 5.7 11-1
7 7 Philippa 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Accuracy 2.50 7 13-1
4 4 Sugarcoat 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ferrariano 0 0-1
3 3 Ferrariano 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bert’s Prospect 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 El Rey Dorado 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Uncle John 12.00 4 7-1
1 1 Takes Three 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Lord Tripping 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Devil Be Me 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mogollon Rim 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Next Flight 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fifth Street 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smart Mo 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Big Hat Willie 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Wendelssohn 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Better Than Gold 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Cornell 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Clouseau 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Full Serrano (ARG) 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Shortman 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Birth of Cool 15.00 4 7-1
11 98 Mc Vay 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (California Dreamin’ S.) – California Dreamin’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Catalina Eddy 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Proof He Rides 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Oubabe 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 On the Whim 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Old Pal 3.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Coalinga Road 10.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Disko Tribute 12.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 None Above the Law 15.00 10 19-1
4 4 Passarando 15.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Barely Funtional 4.50 10.5 20-1
8 8 Carmelita’s Man 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Clement L. Hirsch S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association) – Clement L. Hirsch S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Scylla 0 0-1
8 8 Pretty Mischievous 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Flying Connection 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Adare Manor 0.60 4 8-1
7 7 Olivia Twist 30.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Coffee in Bed 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Scylla 6.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Desert Dawn 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Sugar Fish 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Legitimate Target (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Classically 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Nuclear 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Big Juanito 6.00 3.5 7-1
12 11 Duran 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Size Lord 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Leading 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Saltwater Cowboy 15.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Buy the Rumor 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Alpha Omega 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Mysterious Husband 12.00 9 17-1
13 12 Quintecents 10.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Storm Off 30.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Goodfella (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.