Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gata Brazil | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Love | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rodina | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impetus Echo (GB) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kisses for Kate | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Margo’s Margarita | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diane Lee | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feel the Bolt | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radiant Tones | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Complexity Jane | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ego Man | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bandits Heart | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Island d’Lite | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aequor | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John Hall | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cardo | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr. Hustle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Eldest Son | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hustle | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tee At One | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crisper | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Court | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Viper | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodbye Note | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lottie Deno | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Irish Lass | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lance’s Smile | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bond’s Belle | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Honey | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Margaret P | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Honey Bee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Romantic Story | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Dance | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fivecommatwo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mosler | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Singalong | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrogates Dream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Once an Eagle | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Osa | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velvet Vixen | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sallatwitter | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mary Katherine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grammy Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Joya Del Sur | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Liberty Belle | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Wildcat | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Cap | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sultry Sally H | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Six the Hard Way | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Haunted Room | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tara’s Talent | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweeterthanwhiskey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gift of Gab | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Serenity | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lilly Simone | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Girl | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nuwanda | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Amazing Mizzen | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bondiva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | What Does It Take | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Armando R | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Your Analysis | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frightland | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tops the Chart | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Search Engine | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Magnolia Wind | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gingersraceday | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | T C Neigh | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Any Fools Gold | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grace in Excess | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Wally Go | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peach Blossom | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nearly a Lady | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Best Beloved | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ful of Shenanigans | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.