Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sophistry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supa Speed | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madonna of Loreto | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daddygaveittome | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playscape | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naples Gal | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | How About Pavel | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Perfect Wave | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Light | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sea Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kitty Marren | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Tell Tammo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leyas Candy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s My House | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Low Expectations | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Leaf | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Farmer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mobou | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joint Venture | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | I’m Still in It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Girlcanthelpit | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Arrow | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sent by Angels | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Storming Gray | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cy’s Silkstocking | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Flying Gracie | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth as Butter | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookatherglide | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Round in Circles | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Bruins Mastery | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girl of My Dreams | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excelia (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Nails | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Make It Snow | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Headed for Om | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gem Mine | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Summer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uffda | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kanthara | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Irresistible Force | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Happy Song | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Camie | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Kitten | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Is | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Soul of a Warrior | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ryder’s Candy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Act of Serendipity | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slam Diego | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deficit Maja | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solid Tune | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Anybody’s Choice | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pioneer Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Dude | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tribal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bronko Nagurski | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pinehurst (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vorpal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baldoro | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Kai | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bear Hunt | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Circleofchampions | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Nashoba’s Joy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Cupid’s Crusader | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Foxtrot Harry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Lady | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loretta Lynn | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Illhaveanotherkiss | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nanci Griffith | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dendera | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Cap | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Bardot | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stein’s Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Cross Knight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Enjoy It Strait | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Law Abiding | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nauvoo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aurelian Man | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clooney | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Tok | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hapi Hapi | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flint Stroll | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Upstart Yankee | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Kingmeister | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.