Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reliable Source | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buriana | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Shot | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Margot’s Angel | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marital Trust | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Dish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Donor Advised | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Dagger | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | George’s Vice | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Try It Again | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Girl | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuligni | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun and Wind | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bern Rosey Bern | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shesalittle Edgy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Shesalittle Edgy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fontanafredda | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tosconova Beauty | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Killy Start | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goldcrest | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ribot’s Valentine | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timed Out | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Thousand Plans | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancypants Juliana | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fabulous Fox | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delightful Dixie | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linarite | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enfuega | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Jasmine | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punch the Clock | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bussia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | First Class Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Regulatory Risk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sedona | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mystery | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Central Avenue | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Standoutsensation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Crushed Ice | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | America’s Vow | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good Long Cry | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Good Long Cry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reining Flowers | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olivia’s Potion | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opulent Restraint (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McKinzie’s Glory | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nanananabooboo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | As Catch Can | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Turntables | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coral Sea | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ravenite | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quickick | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Souper Quest | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Nobals | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Boat’s a Rockin | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Our Shot | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 10 | Mid Day Image | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Step Forward | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Thin White Duke | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | One Timer | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Legends Can’t Die | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 12 | Durante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Charging | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scaramanga | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Cay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For Some Reason | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scaramanga | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Plate Special | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Hammer | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pineapple Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | South Street | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mudville Nine | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sinful Dancer | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agility | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bowling Green S.) – Bowling Green S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Knott (GB) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ohana Honor | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Tide | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Conqueror | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugoi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Strong Quality | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laurel Valley | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sonic Speed | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slapintheface | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Mike | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shpilkes | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kingdom On Paws | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two’s a Crowd | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manny Penny | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wine Responsibly | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.