Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tina Tina Tina 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Argentina Girl 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 G’s Fireball 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Closertotheheart 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Harper Be Good 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Baby Sox 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Determined Blue 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blind Eye 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Longworth 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Fouroneohsmokeshow 10.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Burroughs Cay 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Elfuegomasbrilante 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mo Lucky 2.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Little Cagefighter 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Perfect Peace 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Heart of Fire 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Tabloid City 6.00 9 17-1
13 13 Is It Five 30.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Better Watch It 30.00 9.8 18-1
15 15 Fire and Knives 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 If I Were You 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Burn Rubber 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cesnola 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fun Lovin Criminal 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Goodafternoonoscar 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Uncle Cat 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Brother Brad 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 King’s River 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Toast to Coast 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Rocky Dice 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Concern S.) – Concern S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 El Capi 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Play Harder 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Sunny Breeze 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Celtic Contender 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Willy D’s 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Barksdale 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Canoodle 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Irish Lace 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Mysisternancy 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Coal Mine 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sweet Talia 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Water Witch 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Mit Mazel 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Preparefortakeoff 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Mackillop 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 St. John’s 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Swore 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Missionaire 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Stellar Lute 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Always Gambling 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Bean Machine 30.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Bolt From Above 30.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Prince Khozan 10.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Between the Covers 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dr. Hyde 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Into It 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Cataleya Strike 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Alma North S.) – Alma North S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Apple Picker 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Ms. Bucchero 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Joke Sisi (CHI) 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Charriere 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Happy Clouds 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sweet Alyssa 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Bella Bettina 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Deco Strong 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Talk to the Judge 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Late Frost 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Deputed Testamony S.) – Deputed Testamony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frosted Departure 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Time for Trouble 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Auto Glide 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Be Better 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shaft’s Bullet 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gordian Knot 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dean Delivers 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Prince of Jericho 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Sibelius 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Seven’s Eleven 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Little Vic 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Five Dreams 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Alwaysinahurry 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Awesome Aaron 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Twisted Ride 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 A B C Ya 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Coronation Time 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Under the Overpass 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Bajan Boy 1.40 3.8 7-1
2 2 Right Quick 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sometimes I Do 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Minimo 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.