Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rapscallion 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Titan 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Red Abarrio 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Decisive Pride 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Last Run 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Mister Cooper 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Yasur 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Jades Jay 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Dynamic Empire 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Builder Jak 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Widerthanamile 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Blinging Burr 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Pretty Shy 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bellavinino 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Eleanor Rigby 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Astrolite 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Ocean Star 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Coral Dream 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Concrete Glory 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Yes I’m a Beast 1.40 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lightning Tones 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Feast 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Haberdashery 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Gone Nuts 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hub City 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Boho Lady 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Commencement 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Timely Reward 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Goddess Minerva 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Never Enough 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Star Performance 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz a Tale 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Frosted Faith 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Adios Asher 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Neophyte 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ubiquitous 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Imtakinittothebank 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Thenorthremembers 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Apocalypso 30.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Acamar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Neshume 0 0-1
6 6 Enterdadragon 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Itza Boss 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Forever Mischief 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Neshume 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Torch Is Passed 2.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bridle a Butterfly 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Deetz 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Garrincha 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rezasrolex 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Louie the Sun King 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sabian 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Icelander 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Roan 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Zio Lorenzo 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jabran 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Cacique Abarrio 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Practically Dark 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pay Zone 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 5 Turbo 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Zydeceaux 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Magical Warrior 15.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Sound of the Beast 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Avant Glory 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Knox 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Swoonatra 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Goodbetterbest 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Sudoku Terry 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Grey Princess 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sweet Sweetfantasy 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Now Showing 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 U Lite Up My Life 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Beira 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Irwani (ARG) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cosmic Speculation 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Uranium 4.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 You Talkin to Me 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Daniel Sun 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Millennium Condo 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Uncaptured Boy 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Tiz a Prince 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Bird Wildcat 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.