Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rapscallion |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Titan |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Abarrio |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Decisive Pride |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Last Run |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mister Cooper |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Yasur |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jades Jay |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dynamic Empire |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Builder Jak |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Widerthanamile |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blinging Burr |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pretty Shy |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bellavinino |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eleanor Rigby |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Astrolite |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocean Star |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coral Dream |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Concrete Glory |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yes I’m a Beast |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lightning Tones |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Feast |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Haberdashery |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gone Nuts |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hub City |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boho Lady |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Commencement |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Timely Reward |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goddess Minerva |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Never Enough |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Star Performance |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tiz a Tale |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Frosted Faith |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Adios Asher |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neophyte |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ubiquitous |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Imtakinittothebank |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thenorthremembers |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Apocalypso |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Acamar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Neshume |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Enterdadragon |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Itza Boss |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forever Mischief |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neshume |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Torch Is Passed |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bridle a Butterfly |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deetz |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Garrincha |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rezasrolex |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Louie the Sun King |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sabian |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Icelander |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roan |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zio Lorenzo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Jabran |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Cacique Abarrio |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Practically Dark |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pay Zone |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Turbo |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zydeceaux |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magical Warrior |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sound of the Beast |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Avant Glory |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Knox |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Swoonatra |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goodbetterbest |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sudoku Terry |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grey Princess |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Sweetfantasy |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Now Showing |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
U Lite Up My Life |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beira |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Irwani (ARG) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cosmic Speculation |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uranium |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
You Talkin to Me |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daniel Sun |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Millennium Condo |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncaptured Boy |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiz a Prince |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bird Wildcat |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.