Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Persuasive Lips 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dream Princess 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Flatterwithjewels 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Councilwoman Jilly 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Dramatizer 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Myfavoritedaughter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Billbernjoejohnick 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Capital Outlay 4.50 1.2 2-1
13 12 Western Grit 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Don’t Hit Me Bash 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 No More Ding Dongs 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sharp Wonder 30.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Chromeflash 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Desert Rocket 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Hank Williams 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Miss Jo’s Curlin 5.00 7.1 13-1
14 13 Afternoon Nap 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Omnificent 20.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Bart Sip Some 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Make It a Large 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Curvino 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Uncle Dude 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Emerald Bay 0.80 3.4 6-1
5 5 McKinzie Street 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 B Grayson 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Cano for the Win 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Parenting 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Arrowthegreat 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ultimate Gamble 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Redline 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hero Status 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Cowboy Mike 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Helladic 15.00 1 2-1
3 2 Mamba On Three 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Hot Box 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Give Me the Lute 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Johnny Drama 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Time to Party 20.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Code Duello 12.00 4.5 9-1
13 11 Whatmakessammyrun 5.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Jetovator 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 8 Awesome Rhythm 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Commander (FR) 10.00 5.8 11-1
14 12 Took Charge 20.00 SCRATCH
1 98 Kerry Gold 0.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Mynumerouno (AUS) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Danzing Cat 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Norah’s Princess 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Silver Lightening 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Big Hopes 3.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Discrepancy 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Respect the Crown 5.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Acclaimed Preacher 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Sabres 10.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Ila Veiw Too 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Sapadilla 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vodka Vodka 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Highplainsdrifter 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Fight Back 8.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Vols 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Glorious Life 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 War Swift 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Stylishlyacclaimed 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Blame the Classic 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Wasting Aces 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bruiser 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Razen the Stakes 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Ratleff 15.00 6.4 12-1
14 14 Investalot 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 It’s My World 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shot of Courage 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Arromax 10.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Palagio 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Daddy Justify 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Aloha Chrome 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mongolian Champ 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Street Talker 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Supreme Coast 30.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Flying Blind 10.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Le Mans 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Eddie Read S.) – Eddie Read S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Johannes 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Easter (FR) 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Du Jour 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Master Piece (CHI) 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Balnikhov (IRE) 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Balladeer 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 There Goes Harvard 30.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Perfect in Gray 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Neezer Dalton 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Smile Baby Smile 20.00 2 4-1
9 9 Rose of Jericho 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Bella Vienna 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Pace Lane 12.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 We’ll Do It Live 8.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Putt for Dough 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Satellite Heart 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Anna’s Wish 3.50 5.6 11-1
13 13 Beau Soleil 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Super Enticing 10.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Don’t Worry Boss 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Moment’s Pleasure 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Shes Just Fluffy 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Runamileinmyshoes 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Strange Addiction 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ashleys Sandcastle 8.00 4 8-1
11 11 Worthy of Magic 15.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Smart Monique 20.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Jessebear 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Court Snort 3.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Love Our Family 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Dontmesswithtess 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Lady Mary Lou 30.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Carole Lombard 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.