Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | West Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | States’ Rights | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spurgeon | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Atomic Age | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barricade | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seattle Road | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Simulate | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Flying Mohawk | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bestfriend Rocket | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warlander | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Authentic Legend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pacific Highway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Insubordination (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Vine | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sorority Prank | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Man Ira | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Move | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leo’s Reward | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noonzio | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tinebar | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crescendo’s Rein | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Natural Harbor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nolo Contesto | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Market Alert | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Flint Ridge | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Amundson | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Flight | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Charlie Five O | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saffa’s Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Master of Arms | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dangerous Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mariachi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be the Boss | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speak Easy | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General Banker | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kunshan Bridge | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forrest City | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notah | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edified | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leddy | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yo Daddy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have You Heard | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Dispatch | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Game Warden | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strapped | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pando | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collection Day | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s the King | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Brilliant Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Alfred G. Vanderbilt H.) – Alfred G. Vanderbilt H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakatomi | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Nakatomi | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Nakatomi | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Skelly | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nakatomi | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Buddy B | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subrogate | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Ride | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Yoda | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chancer McPatrick | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Chancer McPatrick | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 3 | Invictus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Confessor | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Promise | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Restore (FR) | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiddling Felix | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiztastic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chancer McPatrick | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sherman Fury | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | T Kraft | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tharhom | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Uncaged | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arrasou | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Satin Blue | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lamorna | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mac to Moore | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Nona | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Day Dawning | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Baybe (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipple | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Corona Princess | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | So Ready | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Unhidden Gem (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | West Hollywood | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Main Beach | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Risk Tolerance (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tifareeh | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Song | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Go | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Marceau | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Singer (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drunk On Sake | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pirate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Groom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Jim Dandy S. Presented By Mohegan Sun S.) – Jim Dandy S. Presented By Mohegan Sun S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fierceness | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Batten Down | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Sierra Leone | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fierceness | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seize the Grey | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gould’s Gold | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Batten Down | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pony Express | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Teta’s Trotter | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Topic Changer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Conscience | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ez Roll | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rabaja | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willintoriskitall | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whistler’s Honor | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Grant | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gem Mint Ten | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starquist | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sonic Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Laurel Valley | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Slapintheface | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hagrid’s Flame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Manny Penny | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Summer Whirl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Autumn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alittlebitnaughty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | North End Lady | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bobby M’s Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Miss City Girl | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Capital Spending | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Addagirl Addie | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 11 | Assisi | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She Is All Busines | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Princess Summer | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | She’s a Natural | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 15 | Purpose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | In All My Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Paulas Star Sister | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Empire Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.