Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
What About Q |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Proud Starlet |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Usha |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thought Process |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Native Charmer |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
McKechnie |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady of Light |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Heart Headed |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always On Cay |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Instinct D’ Oro |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Come Out Fighting |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mission Beach |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eight Clap |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Queen’s Code |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Phosphorescence (FR) |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beer Money |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Journey D’ Oro |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pass the Baton |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Without Borders |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dance Man |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coach Cronin |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Defensor Fortis |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Morning Addiction |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gypsy Lynn |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Layla Rae |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Why Behave |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Taylor |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roman Empress |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Keep Your Coil |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dancing Dana |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Sugar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Show of Force |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Canyahearmeknockin |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
11 |
10 |
Game Warrior |
20.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flyin Private |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cardinal Spirit |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Freedom of Speech |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sabertooth |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Legitimate |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brummell |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Muscled |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
14 |
13 |
Road to Eldorado |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
98 |
Chasin a Dollar |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
12 |
Uncle Evco |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Sawtooth Bow |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Rapida |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rapida |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ready to Dare |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Walk’n the Beach |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pretty Cecy |
30.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Empress Lorrayne |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Nea |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cloudy Women |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s My Flame |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Approval Rating |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Daisycutter H.) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Itzel |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
8 |
Stay and Scam |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Elm Drive |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Runninwiththeboyz |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ever Smart |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Connie Swingle |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Antique Silver |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Antifona (FR) |
12.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
98 |
Doris Mae |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Diego H.) – San Diego H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Arabian Knight |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Newgrange |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Katonah |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Venkman |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Express Train |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
98 |
Subsanador (ARG) |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
8 |
Faustin |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
10 |
Giovinazzo |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
12 |
11 |
Eye On Ry |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hotrocket (IRE) |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart Code |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Bad Uncle Barry |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ottoman Prince (IRE) |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Zio Jo |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Halfway Line (GB) |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lottery Pick |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mongolian Altai |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
12 |
Fly the Sky |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
14 |
98 |
Hudson Ridge |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
98 |
Habeas |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bing Crosby S.) – Bing Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
8 |
Jackstown |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anarchist |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Closethegame Sugar |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
The Chosen Vron |
1.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giant Game |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Happy Jack |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
See Through It |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Straight No Chaser |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
98 |
Roll On Big Joe |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Step It Out (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rehearsal (IRE) |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Spanish Cara (IRE) |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
She’z the Law |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ashley |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baltic Fire |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Willa T |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thea |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Blue Fashion |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Mandalay (GB) |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Queen Berkeley |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bottle Rocket (FR) |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
God’s Favor |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lovin’ On the Run |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.