Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 What About Q 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Proud Starlet 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Usha 1.40 2.5 5-1
6 6 Thought Process 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Native Charmer 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 McKechnie 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lady of Light 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heart Headed 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Always On Cay 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Instinct D’ Oro 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Come Out Fighting 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Mission Beach 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Eight Clap 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Queen’s Code 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Phosphorescence (FR) 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Beer Money 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Journey D’ Oro 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Pass the Baton 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Without Borders 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Dance Man 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Coach Cronin 3.50 8 15-1
5 5 Defensor Fortis 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Morning Addiction 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gypsy Lynn 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Sweet Layla Rae 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Why Behave 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Awesome Taylor 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Roman Empress 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Keep Your Coil 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Dancing Dana 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Sugar Sugar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Show of Force 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Canyahearmeknockin 20.00 1.4 3-1
11 10 Game Warrior 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Flyin Private 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Cardinal Spirit 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Freedom of Speech 20.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Sabertooth 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Legitimate 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Brummell 3.00 4 7-1
10 9 Muscled 4.00 4.6 9-1
14 13 Road to Eldorado 15.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Chasin a Dollar 0.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Uncle Evco 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Sawtooth Bow 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rapida 0 0-1
5 5 Rapida 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ready to Dare 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Walk’n the Beach 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Pretty Cecy 30.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Empress Lorrayne 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lucky Nea 30.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cloudy Women 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 She’s My Flame 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Approval Rating 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Daisycutter H.) – Daisycutter H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Itzel 6.00 1 2-1
9 8 Stay and Scam 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 4 Elm Drive 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 7 Runninwiththeboyz 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Ever Smart 15.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Connie Swingle 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Antique Silver 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Antifona (FR) 12.00 3.4 7-1
4 98 Doris Mae 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (San Diego H.) – San Diego H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arabian Knight 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Newgrange 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Katonah 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dr. Venkman 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Express Train 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 98 Subsanador (ARG) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Faustin 2.50 1 2-1
11 10 Giovinazzo 10.00 2.8 5-1
12 11 Eye On Ry 30.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Hotrocket (IRE) 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Smart Code 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 9 Bad Uncle Barry 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Ottoman Prince (IRE) 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Zio Jo 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Halfway Line (GB) 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Lottery Pick 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mongolian Altai 30.00 5.7 11-1
13 12 Fly the Sky 20.00 6.3 12-1
14 98 Hudson Ridge 0.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Habeas 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Bing Crosby S.) – Bing Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Jackstown 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Anarchist 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Closethegame Sugar 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 The Chosen Vron 1.20 2 4-1
4 4 Giant Game 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Happy Jack 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 See Through It 30.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Straight No Chaser 6.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Roll On Big Joe 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Step It Out (IRE) 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rehearsal (IRE) 5.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Spanish Cara (IRE) 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 She’z the Law 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Ashley 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Baltic Fire 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Willa T 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Thea 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Blue Fashion 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Miss Mandalay (GB) 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Queen Berkeley 30.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Bottle Rocket (FR) 20.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 God’s Favor 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lovin’ On the Run 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.