Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Calling | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mason Mania | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valenzan Day | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Mark | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khafre | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allaboutthemoney | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afternoon Heat | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Weekend | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Realta | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Free Bird | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steppin’ Hawk | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Generous Luva | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galatrona | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Superstarsusan | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purest Performance | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inflammabelle | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majulu | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maxing the Bank | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Nikki Brainburst | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Harmonyville | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dell Arte | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Good Mission | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hayes Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Justheart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Amsterdam S.) – Amsterdam S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentine Candy | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| World Record | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Pure Force | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donegal Momentum | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jefferson Street | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | World Record | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valentine Candy | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Occult | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chi Town Lady | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Moxy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stonewall Star | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Street | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Louise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Judge Rules | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tony O | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Outtawaterbury | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Tone | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dyna Point | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Bail | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fluorescent Bay | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Browne | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Feline Treasure | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seventh Race Shake | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accelerating | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Selectively Sweet | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Open Flame | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Someone | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accelerating | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horseplay | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Welch | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Off Script | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speed and Beauty | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valtellina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Better Bet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harry Hood | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | L’Antharis (FR) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be Like Clint | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vesting (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anthem King | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hamilton’s Way | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Au Paradis | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fromanothamutha | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jackson Heights | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dreamlike | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Curtis Run | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fauci | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Let It Ride | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runningwscissors | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surveillance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fore Harp | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silardi | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thrill of It | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Market Street | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mid Day Image | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Secret Rules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Poppy’s Pride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Celestial Glaze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clear the Air | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zozos | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scotland | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factually Correct | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accretive | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Chaos | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Three Technique | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Jim | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Major Blue | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runninsonofagun | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Strava | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Disarmed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wind Dancer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Film Academy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ferris Muler | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Par | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sebastianthe First | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Isomarshall | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alpha Cat | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rhetorical | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Visions to Reality | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Manticore | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mission Hill | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Stormy’s Dreaming | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.