Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nifty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Lake | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B West | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heartfullofstars | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baron’s Legacy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friar Tuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | John Hall | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Lance | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | One Way Traffic | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Lance | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Claudee Boy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Man J J | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moncrief | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jumpingjaggerflash | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Splendid Summer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Notion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Arm | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pudge Boy Palace | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Borletti (IRE) | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morning Thoughts | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomer | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tubtimsiam | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caughtandcollected | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aliferous | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Walk Away Joe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Trash Talkin Larry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shakrevenge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dead Sexy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mer Soleil | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purring | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Learning to Fly | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Compass Rises | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anxious Heart | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Majesty’s Freedom | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | South Pacific | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Faith and Liberty | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just the Thing | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confluence Lassie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bali Hai | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cara in the City | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Job’s Not Finished | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Story | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Two by Two | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Graded On a Curve | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Anthem | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U S Constitution | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Curly | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bonded | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American d’Oro | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Helms Deep | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Silence | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shofar | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lacco Ameno | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lowcountry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gambling Tzar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bob Marco | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Irish Exit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Celestial Moon | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Murray | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Magic Michael | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Boss Logic | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Brilliant Ice | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cover the Spread | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Princess | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Major Houlihan | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hazelmoor Beach | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seafarer | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Please Marry Me | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaveta | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peppermint Class | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.