Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 25, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Slew’s Joy 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Granada Flavor 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Greatheart 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Zimba Warrior 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Never Seen Before (IRE) 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bravestone 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Cross Examine 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Abadon 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 El Ondeado 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mr. Machupicchu 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Dynodave 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Giant Luther 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 A Votre Sante 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Just Trust Me 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Smiling Mike 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Valentines Candy 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Escape Plan 12.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Kangaroo Coast 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aventapp 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Recinto Rompere 2.00 2 4-1
8 8 Paleo’s Princess 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 She’s a Joker 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Gritty Girl 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 She’s Got a Way 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Woodbine Way 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Adaay In Asia (GB) 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Coruscation 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Rugelach 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Abitmischievous 0 0-1
5 5 Captain Choochies 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Canada Gate 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Winterfell 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Abitmischievous 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Indispensable 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Visceral 2.50 7 13-1
7 7 Battle Cruiser 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Mongolian Gold 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baby Kristen 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 O Mandy 10.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Sassy Prancelot 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mirinda 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Quick Kate 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Giant Kid 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Donita Rose 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dorie Miller 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Bold Choice 30.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Flame McGoon 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Long Mayshe Reign 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sing a Happy Song 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Diamond Bar Gal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Ocasek 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 Summer Chief 20.00 2 4-1
5 5 Next Trick 20.00 2.4 4-1
12 11 Doradus 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Winsitwell 12.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Mischievous Dylan 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lisa’s Doctor S 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Sir Rock 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Splashed in Gold 6.00 6 11-1
7 6 Eddie’s Wave 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Antibes 5.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Billy Joe Shaver 6.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Here Comes Braylon 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Cougar Ii S.) – Cougar Ii S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Calm Sea 0 0-1
1 1 Calm Sea 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Reincarnate 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Midnight Mammoth 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Salesman (IRE) 1.60 3.2 6-1
5 5 Dual Threat 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Clooney 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 In Suspense 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nation 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Glandford (GB) 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Quality Wins 4.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Hurricane Way 15.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Oscar Joy 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 American Glory (GB) 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rowley 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Sweet Odyssey 20.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Divisible By 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mongolian Max 30.00 5.6 11-1
14 98 Semper Invictus 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Crazy Cavalier 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Track and Field 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.