Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Two Tons of Fun 0 0-1
8 8 Conniving 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hours in a Day 15.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Two Tons of Fun 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Shakin the Belle 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Piccata Prince 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Beach Blanket 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Cowboy Luke 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Macaw 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Out On Bail 0 0-1
10 10 Out On Bail 4.00 1 2-1
2 4 Sky Masterson 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Army Proud 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Strand Road 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Nonno Joe 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Leon Blue 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Pay the Juice 3.50 6.9 13-1
6 6 Classic Ruby 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Iron Max 6.00 7 13-1
1 1 Pandemic Hero 4.50 7.1 13-1
2B 11 Epitaph 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Resilient Hero 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Malu 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Chasing Daylight 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Echo in Eternity 6.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Duckphat 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mel’s Baby Sister 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Scarlet’s Dream 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Starry Midnight 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Shehanah 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Strong Play 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Janssen 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Four Eyes 30.00 2 4-1
8 8 Stanley Rough 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Barron’s Bounce 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Irie Man 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Triple Word Score 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jake’s Orchard 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Two Jay’s Way 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Can’t Stand Disco 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 Big Ego 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Bramito 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Union Express 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 7 Internal Capital 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 11 Waitlist 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Scat Tu Tap 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Funny Uncle 10.00 4.5 8-1
1A 10 Devilsgotacause 4.50 5.6 10-1
8 8 Sanderson 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 1 Golden Purchase 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 2 Heroneandonly 50.00 8.1 15-1
4 3 Image of Quality 15.00 8.3 16-1
13 14 Andy Cant 8.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Smile Mon 3.00 SCRATCH
14 15 More Vino 5.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Mr. Papagiorgio 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Overacting 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Spinning Colors 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Spooky Lady 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bernt Again 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Snowy Evening 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Im Just Kiddin 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Can’t Fool Me 8.00 5 10-1
8 8 Autumn Glory 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Lady of Thoroton 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Munny Grab 12.00 7.7 15-1
14 14 Cinderella’s Cause 1.00 SCRATCH
13 13 April Antics 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Krystalheir 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Maggy’s Palace 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Honorable Miss H.) – Honorable Miss H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Munnys Gold 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Clearly Unhinged 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Sterling Silver 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Spirit Wind 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Accede 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Everyoneloveslinda 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Freedom Speaks 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hot Fudge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bourbon Day 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 American Diamond 8.00 2 4-1
12 12 Landbiscuit 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Tiberius Mercurius 20.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Paros 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Safe Conduct 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Bay Street Money 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 High Tide 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Street Ready 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Maxwell Esquire 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Wild Banker 50.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Mystic Night 1.60 SCRATCH
14 14 Gun Maestro 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kalik 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quite Continental 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tongue Twister 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lu’s Redemption 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Lucky and Gorgeous 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Holder Close 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Saving Memories 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 War Terminatrix 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Adult Entertainer 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Alotta Jays 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Rookie League 4.50 10.1 19-1
12 12 Malibu’s Dynamite 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tone of Silence 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.