Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Two Tons of Fun |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Conniving |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hours in a Day |
15.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Tons of Fun |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shakin the Belle |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Piccata Prince |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beach Blanket |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cowboy Luke |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Macaw |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Out On Bail |
|
0 |
0-1 |
10 |
10 |
Out On Bail |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
4 |
Sky Masterson |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Army Proud |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Strand Road |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nonno Joe |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leon Blue |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pay the Juice |
3.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Classic Ruby |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Iron Max |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pandemic Hero |
4.50 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2B |
11 |
Epitaph |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
12 |
Resilient Hero |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Malu |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chasing Daylight |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Echo in Eternity |
6.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Duckphat |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mel’s Baby Sister |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scarlet’s Dream |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starry Midnight |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shehanah |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strong Play |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Janssen |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Four Eyes |
30.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stanley Rough |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barron’s Bounce |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Irie Man |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Triple Word Score |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jake’s Orchard |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Two Jay’s Way |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Can’t Stand Disco |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Ego |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Bramito |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Union Express |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
7 |
Internal Capital |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
11 |
Waitlist |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Scat Tu Tap |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Funny Uncle |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1A |
10 |
Devilsgotacause |
4.50 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sanderson |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Golden Purchase |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Heroneandonly |
50.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
3 |
Image of Quality |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
13 |
14 |
Andy Cant |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
12 |
Smile Mon |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
15 |
More Vino |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
13 |
Mr. Papagiorgio |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Overacting |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spinning Colors |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spooky Lady |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bernt Again |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Snowy Evening |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Im Just Kiddin |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Can’t Fool Me |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Autumn Glory |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady of Thoroton |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Munny Grab |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
14 |
14 |
Cinderella’s Cause |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
April Antics |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Krystalheir |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Maggy’s Palace |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Honorable Miss H.) – Honorable Miss H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Munnys Gold |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clearly Unhinged |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sterling Silver |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spirit Wind |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Accede |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Everyoneloveslinda |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Freedom Speaks |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Hot Fudge |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bourbon Day |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Diamond |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Landbiscuit |
20.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiberius Mercurius |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Paros |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Safe Conduct |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bay Street Money |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
High Tide |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Street Ready |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Maxwell Esquire |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Banker |
50.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mystic Night |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Gun Maestro |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Kalik |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Quite Continental |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tongue Twister |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lu’s Redemption |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky and Gorgeous |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Holder Close |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Saving Memories |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Terminatrix |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Adult Entertainer |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alotta Jays |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rookie League |
4.50 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Malibu’s Dynamite |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tone of Silence |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.