Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Empowered 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Holy Storm 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 Katch This Eagle 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Jess an American 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Behold a Dynasty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 All Du Respect 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Wagon 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Esterbell Shagnasty 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Painted Beauty 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Harrington 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wgslightwilliegirlup 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lovepotionumber 9 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sm Southard Cowboy 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Naughty Politics 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bv She Can Fly 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Bootleggers Candy 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Legacys Favorite 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Big Willy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Skalkaho 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Rockin Boots 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Cinco de Mo 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Killian 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Strollntothemarket 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Strollin Norman B 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Desert Gal 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Breathtaking Folly 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 S C Skylars Empire 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Aztec Empress 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Be My Huckleberry 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Beth’swickedsmack 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mahomes 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Justice Once 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Warrior’s Run 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Day Money 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Munnycantbuymelove 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Riding the Train 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Don’t Fly Stand By 0 0-1
4 4 Maverama 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 F B I Bob 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Don’t Fly Stand By 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Draw Your Bow 10.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 War Echo 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 King of Swing 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Keen Cat 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Texthelegend 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Inca Empire 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dinner At Crumpies 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 You’reinthearmynow 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Roman Giant 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Our Cornerstone 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Our Last Chance 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tripulante 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Peace Dog 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Diamond City 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Comiskey Park 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sweet Stroll 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Garbo Speaks 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Hard Spirits 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Confetti Betty 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Natusia 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Anchors and Spurs 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Climb to Glory 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.