Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lynnder 16 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Relentless Legacy 2.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Wieburg 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Paint Me Downhill 12.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Bourbon Colored Man 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Western Reserve 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Rate Cowboy 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Razor Hawk Cartel 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Apollitical Menace 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 She Is Innocent 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 A Relentless Runner 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Eos Keep Dreamin 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capo Sm Chicks 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 One Prime Eagle 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Pevs Action Jackson 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Flashin Dynamite 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 B an Illusion 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Somethinintheorange 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Fire and Reine 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Prize Flyter 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lightly Painted 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Joyful Image 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Classified 1.40 1.1 2-1
3 3 Run for Home 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Janes Girls 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Medicine Show 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bug a Boo 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sabria 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Luckyhotstuff 1.80 1.3 2-1
3 3 Aprettylulaby 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Athenas Song 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Suit Me Up Charlie 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Youngdumbandbroke 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Cherokee Will 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Young Jonesboro 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Anchor Line 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Air Force Humor 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
P R That’s Judy 0 0-1
4 4 Friendly Spirit 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Woman’s Intuition 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Traciana 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Battleshipper 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Miss Control Freak 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 P R That’s Judy 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 No More Shots 3.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Patmo 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rock Star Parking 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 American Coalminer 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Charmonte 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Chip Shortage 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Simona’s Choice 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Oh Niki 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Annual Budget 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Uncle Singh 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Milton Street 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Temple City Run 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Deer Run 1.60 4.1 8-1
2 2 A Brush of Luck 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 House Wrecker 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Slushy 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Chai Tea 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bayshore Foxes 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Rubysa 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Foolish Intent 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Reina Del Sur 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.