Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tactical Joke 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tirupati 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Overwish 1.60 4.4 8-1
5 5 Ploy 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Dark Princess 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bandbox Legacy 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Diamond Sue 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princessofthenorth 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Little Josie Wales 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Bullock 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Princess Palmer 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Boh’s N O’s 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Watch Me Disappear 30.00 4 7-1
7 7 Meliponini Bee 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sweet Factor 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thunder in Paris 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Peachyness 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Moon Cache 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Grayson’s Girl 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Danni’s Rhythm 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Green Goddess 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Christy My Love 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Julia’s a Fox 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Kuku 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Band Camp 1.40 1 2-1
2 1 Backnthewoods 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 2 My Last Mission 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 7 Mosler Time 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 6 Mister Agent 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Curlin’s Malibu 30.00 5.3 10-1
1A 4 The Judge and Jury 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Levisa 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 True Sunshine 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Virologist 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Beatiful Karla 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sheherhers 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 At First Sight 4.50 4.5 8-1
8 8 Always Forward 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Gormley’s Gabriela 30.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Destined to Dance 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Petingas Twin 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Catahoula Moon 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Supreme Law 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Take Charge Too 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Gerrys Gem 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Holy Synchronicity 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cajun Dream 30.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Whiskey and You 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Magicnthemoonlight 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Coast Along 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Beautiful Mischief 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Elon 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Gift Exchange 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Takethefifth 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Big Amadeus 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Navy Admiral 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Mister Mitch 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mo Jackson 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Disco S.) – Miss Disco S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daughter of Time 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Harriett 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Overly Dramatic 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Go Sherry Go 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 My Brazilian Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Enemynumbernine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Big Dreyfus S.) – Big Dreyfus S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sparkle Blue 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Sun Bee 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Charmed Way 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Cut From Class 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Glittering Lights (GB) 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Cats Inthe Timber 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tic Tic Tic Boom 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Summerstateofmind 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Box N Ben 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Catching Stars 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Get Like Mike 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Hampden Lane 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Perspicacious Boy 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Count Daddy 6.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.