Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spirit of Victory 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Red Haired Gal 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Tiz Erin 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Nouveau Riche 15.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Tapping Girl 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Princess Opal 5.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 New Baby 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Cajun Gal 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Dream Diamond 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Mrs Bradstreet 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Lady Lyla 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Spanish Girl 30.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Miss Tarisansol 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Souper Sunshine 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Don’t Answer 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Calypso Charlie 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Candy Street 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Hermoso Hombre 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Sergeant Sinatra 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Black Seal 4.50 7.8 15-1
5 5 Lukas Prince 3.50 8.3 16-1
7 7 Viva Victory 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Action 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Noble Dreamer 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Shez Speightful 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Phat Chance Fancy 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Kaitie Kait 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Marthamaywhovier 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Devra Warrior 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Moon Rose 30.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Mangrove Mamma 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hockey 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Boston Rose (IRE) 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Free to Roam 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lady O’Brien 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Saucy Six 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Fourway Stop 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 D’lightful Summer 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cleopatra’s Nile 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vayesta 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Splurge 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Mywifeknowsitall 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Red Hot Spark 12.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Defended 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Revolu 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Nightsaber (GB) 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Wildcat Lunita 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 My Sweetheart Dani 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Our Fortune Cookie 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just Relax 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Neoequos 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 King Zayden 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Neshume 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Naughty Rascal 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Zizka 6.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Let’s Go Liam 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Win With Faith 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Sweet Lazarus 30.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Neostar 30.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Godwin 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cattin 0 0-1
9 9 Treasure King 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lorenz (BRZ) 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Tiz the Bomb 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cattin 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Hakkimi (CHI) 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Yacowlef (IRE) 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Uno Tiger 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Make It Big 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 King Faliero 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Marwad (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Breezero 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Three Girls 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Holy Coffee 15.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Down in the Bayou 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Evanora 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Summer Gold 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Miss Bee Happy 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Baha Secret 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Smart Jenny 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 One Sharp Cookie 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Black Fury 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Dr Bayter 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cross Haste 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Rouki 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Raging Fury 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Vidiano 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Rebelde 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Uncaptured Star 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Practically Dark 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bet Stormy 0 0-1
1 1 Tinta Roja 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bet Stormy 5.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 British Empress 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Spicy Guacamole 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Makia 6.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Miss Spitfire 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Miss Cassidy 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Electric Runner 30.00 9 17-1
9 9 Ghosts Lil Secret 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Amandaannadrew 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Windrush 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Denver’s Alley 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.