Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Exaulted 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Bran (FR) 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Watsonville 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 War At Sea 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Packs a Wahlop 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sumter 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Navajo Warrior 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Baby 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Citadino 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 J B Strikes Back 2.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Triple Pass 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Halverson 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Scorpion Shot 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Torleif 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Classic Alphie 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Devilnthebluegras 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Westeros 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Sunset Glory (IRE) 10.00 1 2-1
5 4 Cornelia Fort 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Sixteen Arches (IRE) 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 8 Mahina 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 9 Abhita 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Irish Patsy 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Fayette Fox 10.00 3.1 6-1
11 10 Ultimate Hy 5.00 3.4 6-1
12 11 Lady Claypoole (IRE) 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Gypsy Woman (IRE) 2.50 4 8-1
4 3 Kelly’s Out (IRE) 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 98 Worthy of Magic 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lee’s Baby Girl 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Casalu 2.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Oveta’s Hobby 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Isntsheloverly 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Clapping Trees 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Two Bar 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Rhythmical 30.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Acquitted 1.80 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sarwar (FR) 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Escape Artist 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Dean Martini 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Castle Leoch 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Reiquist 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Irish Prophet 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Malibu Coast 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Living Life 8.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Divin Propos (FR) 2.50 8.7 17-1
4 4 Master Game 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Devil Among Us 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 The Big Cheeseola 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Outgunned 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kahuna Magic 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Vilified 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Carol’s Comic 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Leading the Pace 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Pop d’Oro 3.50 6.1 11-1
1 1 Dad’s Jubilee 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Osunitas S.) – Osunitas S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ag Bullet 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Justique 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hang the Moon 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Miss Lizzy 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Lunar Impact (GB) 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Ascendancy 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Sun Of Hill (BRZ) 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Real Fire 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Richi (CHI) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 I’m a Bad Boy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Style Cat 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 The Gypsy Cowboy 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Cali Cat 10.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Nyce Going 3.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Steak Fries 6.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Prince Dolce 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Tiger Strength 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Home Gamer 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Imaginary Lover 20.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Sir Tom 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Far Western 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Betheguynotthatguy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Whiskeyinateacup 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Wickerr S.) – Wickerr S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Conclude 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Almendares (GB) 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 First Peace 2.50 7.2 14-1
6 6 Air Force Red 10.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Astronomer 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 12.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Cabo Spirit 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Noble Reflection 12.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Irideo (ARG) 10.00 10 19-1
5 5 Ah Jeez 15.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 Flashiest 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Giver Not a Taker 4.00 1 2-1
10 9 Top Gun Tommy 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Lansdowne (GB) 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Ultimate 5.00 3.2 6-1
11 10 Smuggler’s Run 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Windribbon 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Trusty Rusty 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Major Tom 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Terracotta Soldier 30.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Float On 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 98 Leyas Candy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 The Rabbi 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Promissio 10.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Gold Foot 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Rastaman Vibe 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 British Isles 2.50 4.5 9-1
11 10 El Rey Rey 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Size Does Matter 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Free Again 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Siennois (IRE) 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Sketchy 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Moonlit Sonata 8.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Cathal (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.