Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Baby Madeleine 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chipotle Pepper 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Fedorova 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Tentomidnight 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Alpha Gamma Girl 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kikitsa 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Shootin’ Amy 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Noahs Ark 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rebelious 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 My Munnings Model 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Quiet Sunday 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Proud Ronin 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hatmaker Gizmo 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Shamateur 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beautiful Crazy 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Salt 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Mobula 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 One More Doll 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Scat Girl 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Can’t Buy Class 20.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Miss Mitole 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Princess of Storm 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Baytown Storm 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Too Much Talk 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Hudson 12.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Developing the Way 20.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Penner Ash (IRE) 2.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Jay Bird 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Enchant Me 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Sir Samuel 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Just Start Me Up 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Forest Star 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Tourist’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Four K Force 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dream On Baby 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Our Lady Peace 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 North York 12.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Keytothepark 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Starry Night 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ready for Candy 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Snatched 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Baytown Shinjuku 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Yorkton Rose 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Shotgun Wedding 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mikelle 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Plate Trial S.) – Plate Trial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Boy Prince 0.40 1 2-1
3 3 Jokestar 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 No More Options 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Friendly Ghost 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Beautiful Sky 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Piper’s Factor 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Rafaroo 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trillium S. Presented By Don Julio) – Trillium S. Presented By Don Julio

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fashionably Fab 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ocean Club 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ro Town 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Tito’s Calling 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Solo Album 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Forever Dixie 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Batucada 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Five Towns (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bet365 Connaught Cup S.) – Bet365 Connaught Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flag Of Honour (AUS) 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 War Bomber (IRE) 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cruden Bay 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 First Empire 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ironstone 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Saratoga Flash 3.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Capture the Lion 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Not Normal 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Woodbine Oaks Presented By Stella Artois) – Woodbine Oaks Presented By Stella Artois

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kin’s Concerto 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lookin to Conquer 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Holiday in Jail 30.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 My Girl Della 12.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 War Painter 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Vucchella 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Hurricane Clair 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Inudation 10.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 A Little Frisky 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Caitlinhergrtness 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bravo Kate 20.00 6.2 12-1
14 14 Shamans Girl 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Ba Dee Yah 8.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Lunch With Bernie 12.00 7.5 14-1
15 15 Beautiful Sky 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hot Cargo 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alliston 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Veery 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Ready to Jam 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Flowers ‘n Berries 20.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Sassy Melissa 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Baytown Lovely 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Livin On Luv 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Michele M. 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Souper Pecan 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chromeplated Heart 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Red Samurai 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Houlihan 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Work It Baby 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Whiskey N Ice 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 No Layups 15.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Something Borrowed 20.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Iron Pyrite 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Scat Humor 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Spectacular Force 3.00 4 8-1
13 13 Yousangtome 30.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Maiken the Viking 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Red Mood 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Playfully Frac’in 20.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Crimson Nights 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 World Showcase 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.