Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Buttered Toast 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Wicked Miah 1.60 2.5 5-1
7 7 Hot Omelet 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Chrome’s Angel 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Seattle Signal 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Absolute Jewel 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Race for Pinks 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tricky Magician 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Alicia’s Kid 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 One More Brew 20.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sea to Air 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Commander Joe 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ghoul (BRZ) 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Grainger County 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Passthepuddinpleaz 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hurricane Gizmo 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Hyper Awakening 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Queen Gypsy 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Spirit O’Tipperary 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Take Chances 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Birch Bark 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brit 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ladies Rum 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Annia Cornificia F 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Standing Strong 20.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Rumours Fly 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Powaqa 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Motorin’ Maggie 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sake and Sushi 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Silver Lasso 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Reload’s Rebel 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sooner Lunar 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Pat’s Gamble 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Musical Spell 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Fabled Prince 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Valyrian Sky 6.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Valley Victory 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 It’s a Fluke 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tempora 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dixieribsy 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Miss Bobbit 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Taylormoon 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Know How (GB) 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hipnotizada 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Hekla’s Aura 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 Silver Tunes 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Swirling Dancer 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sharp Flame 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Two Sip Sally 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Voice From Above 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Looks Lucky to Me 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Crafty Oaks 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Candid Candace 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Mitole Power 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 April de Velp 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Home for a Rest 10.00 2 4-1
11 11 Lady Wellington 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rosieposie 15.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 My Assistant 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Echo Seven 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 I’m Tenacious 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Time to Watch 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Hobbie Class 20.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 First Round Pick 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Tatoosonmysoul 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Speedy Essa 20.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Yoga 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.