Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (A. P. Smithwick Memorial S.) – A. P. Smithwick Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abaan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pickanumber (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | L’Imperator (FR) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | West Newton (GB) | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ziggle Pops (GB) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddy Flintshire | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going Country (IRE) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Save Time | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Refuse to Lose | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodnight My Angel | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fade to Grey | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fazools | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cararra | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellacose | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Vehemente | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Practically Summer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trail of Gold | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Mama | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bubbe Dearest | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vehemente | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ailani | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pawtucketshuffle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellacose | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Permed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accelerina | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malu | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pebble Lane | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharper Gal | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Della | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toot Your Horn | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jay’s Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Primera Vista | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promiseher America | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Value Area | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ichiban | 1.20 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swoop to Finish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sabalenka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Breath Away (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Panama Red (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Olivia Maralda (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Barstool Babe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street View | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belliqueux | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Swan | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Althena | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hue | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Reigns | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby Jean | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Park Avenue Betty | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exotic Cat | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Allie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Precisely | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Parade Ring (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Theresasilverlinin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deck of Cards | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Awesome | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Buzzy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Caught My Eye | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Obrigada | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Reply | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jackie the Joker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Killy Start | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fontanafredda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cap Ferrat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sohana | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Shea D Lady | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amy’s Light | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tour Jete | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baroness Bourbon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bossy Jeans | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Being Betty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Esther | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starlight Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | War Terminatrix | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Soloshot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Maturity Date | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Luna Love | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Looking for Ginny | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Taco Lady | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coquito | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blind Speed | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Thedreamcontinues | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Don’t Touch Me (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | True Myth | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | American Kestrel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Classic Cara | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Purrfect Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Summer Festival | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fantasy Performer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lion’s Miracle Mo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.