Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s the Great | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Pit | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sinetic | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tojo’s Mojo | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Schrader | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Alex | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty’s Son | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Maya | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Midnight | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majesty’s Freedom | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Molly of Stratford | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Trillion | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enemynumbernine | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Rate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hateful | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mosler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reassess | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nicky Jolene | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kapatude | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Concrete Faze | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emm Ess Eh | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Police Woman | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Job’s Not Finished | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Outfactored | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Must Be Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Hero | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Warlock | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Banditsgoldenchild | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Play Like a Raven | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | K Kake Pop | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mister Agent | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Friar Tuck | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Jameela S.) – Jameela S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kissed by Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bosserati | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Silk Stocking | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightful Sis | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Walk | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money’s Worth | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alla Breve | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Street | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Circle Home | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Double Fireball | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mattitude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Royal Whisper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Always Laughing | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Peyton Elizabeth | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carroll Girl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Can Run | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Haint Blue | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dunvegan Doll | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marley’s Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Divine Grace | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Magically Vanished | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Prince George’s County S.) – Prince George’s County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forever Souper | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Chief (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hardspun Reason | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Addison Pour | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wow Whata Summer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stellar Lute | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eldest Son | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ben’s Cat S.) – Ben’s Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Matta | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whenigettoheaven | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tidewater | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Had to Have Him | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bump N Run | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Idea | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mission Man | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sue Loves Barbados | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Witty | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Arden’sluckytobe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Johnyz From Albany | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Workin On a Dream | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Order | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aliferous | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Musical Heart | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Rusty Raymond | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Transfer the Funds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.