Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dare to Breeze |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischief Maxey |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bisa |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amore Sofia |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gerlin’s Empire |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Katerina Ristova |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mezcalifornia |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Kelso S.) – Kelso S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Carl Spackler (IRE) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Talk of the Nation |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Call Me Harry |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Northern Invader |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Repo Rocks |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mysterious Night (IRE) |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
8 |
Top Gunner |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Celestial Glaze |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
2 |
Nelson Avenue |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Got No Munny |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Milton the Monster |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Didinger |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lost in Rome |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Poppy’s Pride |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Illuminare |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kunshan Bridge |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Agoo |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classic Legacy |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abadin |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vinco |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uncorrelated |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
J D Factor |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
5 |
Unit Economics (GB) |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rebel Red (GB) |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hunt Ball |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
6 |
Suerte |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
9 |
Samburu (GB) |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Transactional (GB) |
1.20 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
8 |
Ramblin’ Wreck |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Devilsgotacause |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
12 |
13 |
Skylander |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
12 |
Fromanothamutha |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Donegal Surges |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Notah |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
14 |
Certified Loverboy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
15 |
Grandpa’s Kid |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
7 |
Greek Order (GB) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
U Should B Dancing |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
4 |
Turriga |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Act of Congress |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stolen Future |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Strictly Taboo |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Beach Cruiser |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Bern Rosey Bern |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fancypants Juliana |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Quick Power Nap |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
City Blocks |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honest Banker |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1A |
13 |
Bussia |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
First Class Cat |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sam’s Rocket |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tenacious Leader |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Asleep At Eight |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Munson |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Floodlites |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moment’s Notice |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Innovator |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tough Catch |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Devil of Ramadi |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
9 |
Hurricane Nelson |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Reynolds Channel |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Light the Way |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Commuted |
5.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
11 |
12 |
Tapit’staleofverve |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Escondido |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
10 |
Hedge the Risk |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Upstanding |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Point Clear |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1A |
11 |
Call Protection |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Ready as Ever |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
5 |
Frostelle |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Phileas Fogg |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Georgie W |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irish Aces |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Magical Ways |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Space Launch |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Beuys (IRE) |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Taking Candy |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bring Me a Check |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mendelssohns March |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
4 |
Tidal Forces |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ruse |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Altazor (ARG) |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
15 |
16 |
Synthesis |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
14 |
Runningwscissors |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ocean Atlantique |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
15 |
Costa Terra |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Diana S.) – Diana S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Didia (ARG) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moira |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whitebeam (GB) |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mission of Joy |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gina Romantica |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chili Flag (FR) |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Neecie Marie |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Evvie Jets |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fluffy Socks |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coppice (GB) |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Venti Valentine |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Sanford S.) – Sanford S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Three Echoes |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Studlydoright |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo Plex |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Squeaky Wheels |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
War Tax |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soontobeking |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Dukes |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mentee |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dr Oseran |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heymackit’sjack |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Final Verdict |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugar Gray Leonard |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Three Zero |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
King Moonracer |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
War Terminator |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
He’s Got It |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Playground Legend |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rithm Nic |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Feathers Road |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
14 |
14 |
Bourbon’s Hope |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tivy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Magnificent Mile |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Will Be Famous |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Upside Potential |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.