Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Reliable Lady |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reliable Lady |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Martingale |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chanteuse |
1.20 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ascension |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lord I Wonder |
2.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Corona Princess |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dillinger |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paschal Moon |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stormquist |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giant’s Fire |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unclecharliesgift |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Muazarah |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Solo in Paris |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Passive Management (GB) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
1 |
Daily Grind |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tiz Wicked Strong |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
6 |
Tom Collins |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1A |
5 |
Storm Ready |
1.20 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
4 |
Steadfast Resolve |
1.20 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
8 |
Inherent Promise |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Passive Management (GB) |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Clever Mischief |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
9 |
Prairie Dunes |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Military Road |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
12 |
Commander of Truth |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Salacious |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Yarrow |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twenty Six Black |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Inflation Nation (IRE) |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cigarette Boat |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tunisian Spring |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aleah Aleah |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sesame Seed Bagel |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Super Chief |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
What’s Up Bro |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Valley Victory |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Lady Moscato |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Disco Deano |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
12 |
Disco Deano |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
7 |
Chateau |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
10 |
Saffa’s Day |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
9 |
Cold as Hell |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gangly |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Charging Aero |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Joking Way |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Funny Joke |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1A |
6 |
Kant Beat the Rock |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jake Rocks |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ribbons and Medals |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
13 |
Motorcade |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Rock the Weekend |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Strengthnguidance |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Concrete Cruiser |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
King’s Leap |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Classic Time |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corvus |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Replevin |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reteko |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Storm the Streets |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tapwrits Temper |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pacific Highway |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Brink |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Fire Pit |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
America’s Honor |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Mauritius |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Palace View (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Just for Luck |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Front Man |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gilded Craken |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Heathguard |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Our Country |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Creation |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sinful Dancer |
50.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Devil’s Cay |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leftembehind |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Addicted to You |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
14 |
14 |
Strapped |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Gun Maestro |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Ski Country |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Drunk On Sake |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Wilton S.) – Wilton S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dazzling Move |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Justify |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Moscato |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bells Beach |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Striker Has Dial |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Courbe |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Windy Walk |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Coronation Cup S.) – Coronation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ever So Sweet (IRE) |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cloudwalker |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kairyu (IRE) |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twirling Queen |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Toupie |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dancing Duchess |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
In Our Time |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baraye |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Value Area |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Do Gooder |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Golden Degree |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Star of Mystery (GB) |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pipsy (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Pujol |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dangerous Driver |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smooth an Easy |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fire Baron |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Torpedo Run |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Comanche Peak (GB) |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Over and Ollie |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Remember the Chief |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Guile |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bookworm |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beach Blanket |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Always Be Smart |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Adventurous Spirit |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Mano E Mano |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.