Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Rocco Strong |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Accidental Hero |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
People Force |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Am the Law |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Empty Tomb |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gut Feeling |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Higher Quality |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bossmakinbossmoves |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bold Victory |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Horse Be With You |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mason Mania |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Sweetest Princess |
50.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
10 |
Toned Up |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
9 |
Amanda’s Folly |
2.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
1 |
Rhombique |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Sabalenka |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Be Your Best (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Freydis the Red (FR) |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
2 |
No Show Sammy Jo (GB) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
7 |
Avenue Niel (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Aspen Grove (IRE) |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mia Nipotina |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Our Reward |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dreaming of Carli |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Going for Glory |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Maximus |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
10 |
11 |
Needed |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Outta the Cloud |
30.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1A |
10 |
La Decente |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Neigh Jude |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Punch the Clock |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
12 |
Widow |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
2 |
La Indecente |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Shoshanah |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
8 |
Shootoutthelights |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lady Milagro |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Run for the Hills |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
10 |
Bustin Bay |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
4 |
L Street Lady |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
9 |
All That Magic |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sunday Shoes |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
7 |
L J’s Emma |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Lady Mia (FR) |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Stormy’s Dreaming |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Call Bob |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brown Eyed Cat |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tomacon |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Romantic Charmer |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
D C Boy’s |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
New York Scrappy |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clancy Fancy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Concorde Spirit |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Crescendo’s Rein |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Flaming Glory |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Selectively Sweet |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Teca |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Honestly |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Episode |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strong State |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Vanilla |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will Not Be Swayed |
3.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Lady Bae |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mean Eileen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Katerina Ristova |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Dare to Breeze |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Amore Sofia |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bisa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Mischief Maxey |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Mezcalifornia |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mz Big Bucks |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Weekend Rags |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Speightful Lily |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sunday Girl |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Solib |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Queens Dancer |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Concerti |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bank On Anna |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mosienko |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Patria |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Latest Edition |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Im Just Kiddin |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Marco T. |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Spring Magic |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silent Melody |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Crushed Ice |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Just Music |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grab the Glory |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Miss Fashionista |
2.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
More Mango |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Elle Est Forte |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Kannon Fire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Diamond Status |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Shigeko |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lakeside Getaway |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
More Than Glory |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sizzle |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Salute the Stars |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Film Star |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1A |
6 |
Quality Chic |
15.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
7 |
Rocket Can |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
8 |
Blazing Sevens |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Artorius |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Warrior Johny |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
9 |
Signator |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
10 |
Classic Catch |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
11 |
Untreated |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
5 |
Laughing Boy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Schuylerville S.) – Schuylerville S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Aoraki |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
West Memorial |
20.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Slang |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Whatintheliteral |
10.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dreamgirl |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
The Queens M G |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Viggiedal |
4.50 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Long Neck Paula |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Complexion |
3.50 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sherbini |
4.50 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carmen’s Candy Jar |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Hook |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
16 |
16 |
Always Be Smart |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vincita |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Caesar’s Ghost |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Parkway |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bolt d’Plata |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Get It to Matthew |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ghost Prince |
50.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Battlefield Park |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Kick a Buck |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bookworm |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Bourbon Outlaw |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Houlton |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Il Siciliano |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
El Alacran |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Comanche Peak (GB) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.