Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Awesomebrotherbill |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rejected Again |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Justinspeightofit |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pylon |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jw’s Third Mischie |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Warden |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Captain Chazz |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mizzen Man |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Canoodle |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Like a Pro |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sirenetta |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
J J Loves Billy |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Colette’s Spirit |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Anna Rocks |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
My Brother Charlie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Birthday Bond Rob |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Boy Tullio |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heat Alert |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bijah Again |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gold Bling |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mister Moore |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gamerun |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carnivore |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Disturbed |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiempo Perfecto |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Full Contact |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Harbor of Gold |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mo Rewards |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fair Haired Boy |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Holy Moly Moses |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Game Seven |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Back East |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Masterpiece |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Morning March |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shadow Man |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Check My Six |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Dance a Dini |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Prince Colton |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bassanio (GB) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
My Blessing |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mexican Sugar |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Landofhopeandreams |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Colby’s Candle |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tootaloo Kangaroo |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Keep It Sweet |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Philly’s Finest |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peach Tea |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Napolitan |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Chit Chat Chub |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sweet Distraction |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gaja Ray |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beautifulcrazygirl |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wine and Roses |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twisted Empress |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Racey Ruby |
4.50 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Takethemoneyhoney |
4.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oops Haha |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Queen Cadence |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cause I Said |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Et’s Moon Maiden |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Uptown Girl |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aruma |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ree Nee’s Six |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Confirmed Genius |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Black Ice |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lamasco |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bella Queen |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kiss Me Hardy |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Girlfromouterspace |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boss Like Beth |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peach Perfect |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Chamita |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Factor U and Me In |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smoke Wagon |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twentyeighttothree |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Strasse |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Humble Joe |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Raisedaroofcharlie |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
It’s a Pity |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Love |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crack the Code |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.