Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Indomitable Hussle 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ripping Rio 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Eyesa Gonna Streak 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Oh Hez Gold 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Sweet Bureaucracy 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mp Latin Lover 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Dashing Grand 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Dashin Double D 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Eagle Eye Leaving U 8.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Paint Me Jessa 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aj Champion Legacy 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wendells Fast Dash 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Tf Heza Streaker 8.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Famous Lollipop 4.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Back Country 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mornin Freight 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Candy On the Run 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Ranch Watr 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Florentine Dash 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Heza Fast Tac 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Star Dancing Eagle 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tdz Perrysroyalpain 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 One Sweet Tap 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Ttt Dashin by James 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Zaxo 13 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Miss La Panther 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Cheaper Than Gas 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Skreamin Eagle 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reem Al Ghazal 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Threecordsanthetruth 3.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Corona Power Jam 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Pilotowillshinenher 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cc Toast to Me 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Wanda Bee 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Paint Me Warrior 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Rough Majestic 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cardiac 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Envie 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Venus Tlc 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 I Cartel 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Cosino Rogue 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Apolitical Train 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jw Corona Dressed 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Flaming Eagle 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Bellas First Rogue 5.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Di Esperanza 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shes Jess So Special 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jj Coronas Star 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Heza Piloto 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 The Temptress 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Jes Leaving the Bar 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Palmero Fantasy 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mine That Bird 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Your Times Coming 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Jessagreatgrandson 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 M Cr Pilotos 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Louisiana Bru 3.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 One Delightful Tee 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Jjs Lace 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Big Man 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 South Tallahassee 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mamaigotthis 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Cr Ease Love 4.00 5 9-1
3 3 Soaracrossyourmind 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Five Bar Patriot 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sweet Lady Jess 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Foose You Babe 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Foose Baby 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Fly High Cowboy Hs 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Jb Paint Me Blue 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Jtf Cuervo 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Lynns Piloto Magic 6.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Jrs Angel Cartel 5.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Lady Mafia 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Separatist Return 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.