Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Angelas Party Girl |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tweet Away Robin |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Viking Queen |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Murumbi |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Six the Hard Way |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caged Pixie |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bravo Zulu |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Abundant Life |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mary Katherine |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
April April |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mya C |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischiefness |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hurricane Bon |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catalina Cruzin |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tooshay |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Nutter |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shaymyname |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Eloper |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chaveta |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
14 |
14 |
Osa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Arrogates Dream |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Run Poppy |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Captain Quint |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Flay |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sainthoodforbrian |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Got Thunder |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Silver Style |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Swifty Devil |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Petingas Twin |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
The Bullion Bomber (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Distorted d’Oro |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Planet Clare |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Just Great |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Normanjito (FR) |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Miss Maggie |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Flower Mound |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wellareyouhappynow |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Next On Stage |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Old Bay |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Yatta |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sunny Breeze |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Excitable Boy |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yo Yo Candy |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paco the Taco Man |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rainy Skies |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dalinar |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Christiana S.) – Christiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cap Classique |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Style Points |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Belle of Rights |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskey Decision |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Parish Lane |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Source (GB) |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Doesn’thurttoflirt |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mont Saint Michel (FR) |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nay Slayer |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
A Primera Vista |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Alapocas Run S.) – Alapocas Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
American Monarch |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prince of Jericho |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sir Wellington |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Chow |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dean Delivers |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gordian Knot |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
O’Conner Sunset |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ninetyprcentmaddie |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Seven’s Eleven |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Kent S.) – Kent S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Frontline Warrior |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spirit Prince |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
El Matador |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Willy D’s |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Domingo |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nomos |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
St James the Great |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Desvio |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fort Thomas |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Triple Espresso |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Villain |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Conspiractherapist |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Delaware Oaks) – Delaware Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sidamara |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Power Squeeze |
1.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princess Indy |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Regaled |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ringy Dingy |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Call Another Play |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mystic Lake |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Martynas’ Joy |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Toy Collector |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Virtual |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
La Fantasma |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Volta d’Oro |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sister Sola |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rashmi |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Keep It Safe |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Star Anise |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.