Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Lake Huron S.) – Lake Huron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Junior Hot Shot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garofoli | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Live Lucky | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yacht Boy | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Commander | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | He’s Fully Loaded | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Small Talk | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town’s Warrior | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream On Baby | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Thieves | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remembering Rhoda | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tourist’s Dream | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mad Chatter | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kekoa | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flirting With Fire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Test | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonny’s Gamble | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ok Speedy | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Graal Cheval | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Basketball Jones | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Storm | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walter Me Lad | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trebuchet | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rye’s My Guy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snookered | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hungry Wolf | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Red Ensign | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Pal | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Magic | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April de Velp | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Where Is Essa | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Shoots He Wins | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dissectologist | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tavaline | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent and Sinful | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch the Drift | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ondine Lady | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. C | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Houlihan | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Genius of Love | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Town’s a Breeze | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Mitole | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ontario | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Georgian Bay S.) – Georgian Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Olivia Rose | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strike a Chord | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Follow Me | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tabloid Material | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Teddy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sinclairity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Playmea Tune | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Strategy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Western Whirl | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roi Soleil | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tour the City | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paintthetownsilver | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Posturing | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evening News | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pine Knoll | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Buzz | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quite Ready | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Mo Town | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Elvis | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mad Dog N Joe | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumlin Lad | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Have It My Way | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guns n’ Rojas | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dream Jereem | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Cohete | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Society’s Thunder | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Break the Spell | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stonks | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bearing Down | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Moment | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Almasty | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Avro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.