Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oxford Union | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Bullet | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graft | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cundi | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sometimes I Do | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sin Permiso | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Band Tour | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colonial Parkway | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Northern Cardinal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Love in May | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Remember Me | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Closertotheheart | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G’s Fireball | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tina Tina Tina | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheherhers | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kapadokya | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Longworth | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Travels | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | States United | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominguez | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | If I Were You | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Ten | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hanksdiviningrod | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s the Boss | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Is It Five | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thatsmyboxer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Better Watch It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proper Attire | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Preparefortakeoff | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Lookin Royal | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeisgolden | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Martha’s Banner | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raise Your Game | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fainor’s Filets | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Up in Flames | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fear Nothing | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Candy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunflower State | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anotherhope | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ecliptical Zip | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Alex | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Schrader | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Veneto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kake’s Arrow | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sig | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cap’n Dusty | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starlifter | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Flowers | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blind Eye | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Connection | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Foolin Mo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Leo | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burroughs Cay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Ginger Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Golden Charm | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Viennese Waltz | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Rowsie Express | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Civil Notion | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Mischief Motion | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Bossyness | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Honor the Truth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Tux | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | God Is Love | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In the Dance | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Era | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sneaking Suspicion | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Lute | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Shopping | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Note | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toast to Coast | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Brad | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Without Pretence | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | General J R | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minimo | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under the Overpass | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right Quick | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forceful | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Realization | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.