Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tweet Away Robin | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelas Party Girl | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Murumbi | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Viking Queen | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six the Hard Way | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caged Pixie | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bravo Zulu | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mary Katherine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abundant Life | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mya C | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Arrogates Dream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Cruzin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | April April | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischiefness | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hurricane Bon | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Nutter | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Osa | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tooshay | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaveta | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eloper | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shaymyname | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Run Poppy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petingas Twin | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sainthoodforbrian | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Got Thunder | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swifty Devil | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Style | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Flay | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Quint | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yatta | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Great | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Planet Clare | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Miss Maggie | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Normanjito (FR) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flower Mound | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Next On Stage | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted d’Oro | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Old Bay | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wellareyouhappynow | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Excitable Boy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Yo Candy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dalinar | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Breeze | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rainy Skies | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paco the Taco Man | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Christiana S.) – Christiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cap Classique | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Primera Vista | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Style Points | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Decision | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belle of Rights | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parish Lane | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doesn’thurttoflirt | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mont Saint Michel (FR) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Source (GB) | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nay Slayer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Alapocas Run S.) – Alapocas Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Monarch | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Chow | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dean Delivers | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Jericho | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Wellington | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven’s Eleven | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gordian Knot | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Conner Sunset | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Kent S.) – Kent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Prince | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | El Matador | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frontline Warrior | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy D’s | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nomos | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Domingo | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | St James the Great | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desvio | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Espresso | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Thomas | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Villain | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Conspiractherapist | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Delaware Oaks) – Delaware Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Lake | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sidamara | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Squeeze | 1.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Indy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Another Play | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ringy Dingy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regaled | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Martynas’ Joy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Virtual | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Anise | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toy Collector | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Fantasma | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Volta d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Safe | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Sola | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rashmi | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.