Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Showcase | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Wolf | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Freedom | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cyclone State | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Protected | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerry’s Out | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Dwyer S.) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Save the Trees | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billal | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Domestic Product | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hades | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| Domestic Product | 6 | 11-1 | |||
| Domestic Product | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Looms Boldly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senbei | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fore Harp | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Curtis Run | 1.40 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cees Get Degrees | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lost in Rome | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fauci | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Script | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Poppy’s Pride | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ikigai | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gunner | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Rules | 4.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Low Society | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Good Pay Good | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five to Two | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grammy Girl | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You’re Forever | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Progeny | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amundson | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kneedeepinsnow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Digital | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Joe | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six Percent | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Writer’s Regret | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Belmont Derby Invitational S.) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Endlessly | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trikari | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | White Palomino | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legend of Time (GB) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| Trikari | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vespucci | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Night Out | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Refuah | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Nombre | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camm’ Duke | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Andy Cant | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Safalow’s Mission | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby the Tank | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (John A. Nerud S.) – John A. Nerud S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Everso Mischievous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mullikin | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Mission | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prevalence | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She Feels Pretty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pin Up Betty | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buchu | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Segesta | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fun With Flags (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Satire (GB) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sy B | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cinderella’s Dream (GB) | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dissolved | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paddington | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Torigo | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capture the Flag | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostlyprince | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Complete Agenda | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Certified Loverboy | 1.40 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skylander | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victors Valiant | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mission North | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Side Eye | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Cuando | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Light the Way | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Livehappy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Master Freud | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Tons of Fun | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Frostelle | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Research Results | 1.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Prospero (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Creditworthy | 1.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tap to Mischief | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.