Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
P Fifty One |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just Tell Jess |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cartel Can Fly |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
P Fifty One |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kandoit |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nsm Buddy |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Paint Me a Version |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aces Flyin Bye |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bloodmoone |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kiss of Fire |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coconino |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Docs Best Dancer |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Capi Me |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen Catrina |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Wolf Mountain |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oompa Lewpa |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
B a Destiny |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rizen |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Incitatus Cowgirl |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Emberly |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aj Dynasty |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kiss Me in Paris |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bleu by U |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dianetogetbyyawl |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hanks Girl |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dreaminonthenile |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ellll E |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kasa |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hop Away Hottie |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Simmering |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Adria |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lorraine’s Legacy |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Set the Pace |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Strategy |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Laura |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Do You Bileve |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Good Fortune |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Iowa Sprint S.) – Iowa Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Jaxon Traveler |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Count de Monet |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Confidence Game |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Heist |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Necker Island |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peace Dog |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Saylorville S.) – Saylorville S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Unsung Melody |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Olga Isabel |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unsung Melody |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Palacein |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Happy Am I |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Faith Alone |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dealing Justice |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Prairie Gold Lassie S.) – Prairie Gold Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Elegant Justice |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baytown Butterfly |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spankerboom |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shezafunkydrummer |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dancing Magic |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unspoken Truth |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sipping Firewater |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swiftwind |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mind Your Mo |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Move It Mary |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tapitures Actor |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Rich City Girl |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Distaff S.) – Iowa Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Take Me Serious |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lacie Be Good |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flat Out Stormin |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magical Lute |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
West Coast Fashion |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baytown Lovely |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pigalle |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Desperate Man |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Guided Arrow |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diamond City |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shouldaboughtdabar |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Burn Jakey Burn |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uxmal |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Western Tourist |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Say It Nicely |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Frankly Epic |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lawless John |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Snap’n Tap |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Posse |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Billy Bob Rocket |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Milton Street |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Take Me Up Brady |
10.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Louie |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.