Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
P Fifty One 0 0-1
5 5 Just Tell Jess 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cartel Can Fly 1.80 2.4 4-1
4 4 P Fifty One 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Kandoit 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Nsm Buddy 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paint Me a Version 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Aces Flyin Bye 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Bloodmoone 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Kiss of Fire 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Coconino 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Docs Best Dancer 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Capi Me 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Queen Catrina 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wolf Mountain 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Oompa Lewpa 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 B a Destiny 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Rizen 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Incitatus Cowgirl 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Emberly 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Aj Dynasty 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Kiss Me in Paris 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Bleu by U 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Dianetogetbyyawl 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hanks Girl 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dreaminonthenile 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Ellll E 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Kasa 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Hop Away Hottie 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Simmering 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Adria 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lorraine’s Legacy 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Set the Pace 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Gold Strategy 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 Sweet Laura 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Do You Bileve 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 My Good Fortune 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Iowa Sprint S.) – Iowa Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jaxon Traveler 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Count de Monet 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Confidence Game 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bourbon Heist 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Necker Island 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Peace Dog 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Saylorville S.) – Saylorville S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Unsung Melody 0 0-1
6 6 Olga Isabel 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Unsung Melody 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Palacein 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Happy Am I 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Faith Alone 5.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Dealing Justice 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Prairie Gold Lassie S.) – Prairie Gold Lassie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Elegant Justice 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Baytown Butterfly 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Spankerboom 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Shezafunkydrummer 6.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Dancing Magic 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Unspoken Truth 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Sipping Firewater 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Swiftwind 4.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Mind Your Mo 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Move It Mary 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Tapitures Actor 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rich City Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Distaff S.) – Iowa Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Take Me Serious 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lacie Be Good 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Flat Out Stormin 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Magical Lute 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 West Coast Fashion 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Baytown Lovely 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Pigalle 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Desperate Man 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Guided Arrow 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Diamond City 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Shouldaboughtdabar 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Burn Jakey Burn 3.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Uxmal 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Western Tourist 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Say It Nicely 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Frankly Epic 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lawless John 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Snap’n Tap 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 American Posse 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Billy Bob Rocket 3.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Milton Street 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Take Me Up Brady 10.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Lucky Louie 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.