Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Swift Harmony 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Little Dumpling 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Long Legged Babs 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dyin a Thirst 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sweet Ella Rae 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Faithful Truth 4.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Promise Me Kat 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Westport Captain 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Frost Alert 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Syntactic 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Fireman Dan 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Moesahandful 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Jack Kerouac 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Una Palabra 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Warrior Lady 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Dendera 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Run for My Honey 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Love Our Family 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 De Joria 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 English Danger 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 One Strong Cat 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Barsini Red 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Spot D’ Oro 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Next Trick 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Getemdusty 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Notch 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Kimberly’s Devil 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dapitan Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Another Summer 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Nicely Curved 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lady Cruiser 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sent by Angels 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Smooth as Butter 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Cy’s Silkstocking 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 High Flying Gracie 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Amelia Bleu 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Judicious 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Veronica’s Gem 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Uffda 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Muteki 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Irish Rose 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Wimberly 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Bad Cardinal 30.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Philippa 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Red Cross Knight 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jack Sixpack 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Reckless Spirit 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Big Hat Willie 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mackinnon 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Shortman 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sketchy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden River 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 War Swift 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Dance Man 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Remi Or Not 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Finners Goldnsense 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Last Call Paul 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Flying Blind 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Chispa Roja 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Stephortless 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.