Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Love Mami Love 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Fourway Stop 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Free to Roam 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 My Happy Holiday 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Bonmati 12.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Dialithic 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Oro Oro 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Seekingbythestorm 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Kilkenny Bella 12.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Just Mercy 20.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Lady O’Brien 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Three Run Bolt 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Etrurian 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Laila Bella Girl 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Spicy Guacamole 1.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 Karter’s Baby Blue 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Neoprene 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tree C’s Kai 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Girl in Blue 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
King Skull 0 0-1
2 2 King Skull 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Woke Up Quick 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Starship Mocha 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Imapeppa 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Awesome for Sure 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Viva Victory 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Drum and Drummer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Caramel Chip 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Pay Zone 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Absolute Grit 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Avant Glory 12.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 X Y Point 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Capture the Time 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Galaxy Music 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vincey Girl 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Silver Moonlight 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Secret Revenge 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Teasing 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lionza 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Magical Song 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Princess Miss Emil 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Nicole’s Journey 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crypto Man 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beastly Speed 1.80 3.4 6-1
9 9 Ekati King 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Fort Charles 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Secret Lover 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Jigsaw 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Southern Dream 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Commander Biz 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Uncaptured Star 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Haberdashery 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Dove Rules 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Deflection 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Trumpets 1.40 3.3 6-1
6 6 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Contessa’s Song 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Condora 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Betsylicious 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 American of Course 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Julee’s Legacy 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pretty’n Awesome 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bedrock Birdie 3.50 5 10-1
1 1 Holy Coffee 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Prettykeen 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Gitana 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Clay Soldier 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Summer Gold 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Carry Back S.) – Carry Back S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 General Ledger 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Catalytic 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Real Macho 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Etendre 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Saybrook 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Roar Ready 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 El Principito 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Celtic Pride 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.