Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Love Mami Love |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fourway Stop |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Free to Roam |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Happy Holiday |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bonmati |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dialithic |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oro Oro |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seekingbythestorm |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kilkenny Bella |
12.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Just Mercy |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady O’Brien |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Three Run Bolt |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Etrurian |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Laila Bella Girl |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spicy Guacamole |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Karter’s Baby Blue |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neoprene |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tree C’s Kai |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Girl in Blue |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
King Skull |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
King Skull |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Woke Up Quick |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Starship Mocha |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Imapeppa |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome for Sure |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Viva Victory |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drum and Drummer |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Caramel Chip |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pay Zone |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Absolute Grit |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Avant Glory |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
X Y Point |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Capture the Time |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Galaxy Music |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Vincey Girl |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silver Moonlight |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Secret Revenge |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Teasing |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lionza |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magical Song |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Princess Miss Emil |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nicole’s Journey |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Crypto Man |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beastly Speed |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ekati King |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fort Charles |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Secret Lover |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jigsaw |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Southern Dream |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Commander Biz |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncaptured Star |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Haberdashery |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
The Dove Rules |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deflection |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trumpets |
1.40 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fay’s Rhonda Cares |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Contessa’s Song |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Condora |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Betsylicious |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
American of Course |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Julee’s Legacy |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pretty’n Awesome |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bedrock Birdie |
3.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Holy Coffee |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prettykeen |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gitana |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clay Soldier |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Gold |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Carry Back S.) – Carry Back S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
General Ledger |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Catalytic |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Macho |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Etendre |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saybrook |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roar Ready |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Principito |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Celtic Pride |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.