Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Last Vintage | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Luther | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reason to Believe | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Panuco | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Ondeado | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betheguynotthatguy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lisa’s Angel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ila Veiw Too | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funky Grey | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Sally | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O C Rhapsody | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zzyzx | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mubtadaa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mammoth | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Leaf | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Low Expectations | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Single Track Mind (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birth of Cool | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsh Creek | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Size Lord | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Spartan | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marsh Creek | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andreadytorumble | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Off | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abitmischievous | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Omey Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pushiness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Class Clown | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dads Estrella | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kristi’s Tiger | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hayley Levade | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vronsky Feint | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tecumseh Caroline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Issa Court | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Professors’ Pride | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazia | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gila | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Falabella | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carole Lombard | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Betty Pack | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Celsius | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betting Fever | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donita Rose | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Danzing | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bessie Coleman | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Bride | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grainne O’Malley | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | T N T Nova | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comanche Gal | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Garden Party | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fiamina | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moorea Time | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Runner | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anza Sky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Just Grand | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Solstice | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citadino | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncharted | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gaelic Nation (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Alphie | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder Ball | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Prosecutor | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Will Be King | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R Awesome Kid | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Come Fly Away | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.